Kent State vs Florida State Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Kent State vs Florida State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 20th at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 4 matchup. 

Kent State Golden Flashes Betting Preview

The Kent State Golden Flashes are 1-2 this year after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 31-28 in their last game. Kent State led 7-0 after the first quarter and they took a 28-24 lead in the fourth, but allowed a touchdown with about a minute left for the loss. The Golden Flashes were out gained by a total of 457-423, went 8-20 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Dru DeShields went 22-32 for 279 yards and two touchdowns, while Gavin Garcia rushed 18 times for 61 yards. Cade Wolford caught three passes for 95 yards and one score in the game. The Kent State defense recorded one sack and four tackles for loss in the defeat. 

Kent State opened the season with a 21-17 win over Merrimack in week one, but lost to Texas Tech by a score of 62-14 in week two. The Golden Flashes are averaging 21.0 points per game with 217.7 passing yards and 101.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 36.7 points against per game this season. Dru DeShields has completed 61.4% of his passes for 513 yards and four touchdowns, while Cade Wolford has caught seven passes for 223 yards and four scores. Gavin Garcia has led the ground game for Kent State with 45 carries for 135 yards this year. 

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles are 2-0 this season after they defeated East Texas A&M by a score of 77-3 in their last game. Florida State led 21-0 after the first quarter and 49-0 at halftime, before coasting to the win in the second half. The Seminoles out gained East Texas A&M by a total of 729-197, went 10-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Tommy Castellanos went 8-11 for 237 yards and three touchdowns, while Samuel Singleton Jr rushed four times for 82 yards and one score. Duce Robinson caught five passes for 173 yards and two touchdowns in the victory. The FSU defense recorded three sacks and nine tackles for loss in the win. 

Florida State opened the season with a 31-17 win over Alabama in week one. FSU is averaging 54.0 points per game with 260.0 passing yards and 295.5 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 10.0 points against per game this season. Tommy Castellanos has completed 68% of his passes for 389 yards and three touchdowns, while rushing for 85 yards and one touchdown. Micahi Danzy has rushed four times for 109 yards and two touchdowns, while Duce Robinson has caught seven passes for 191 yards and two scores this year. 

Why Florida State will beat Kent State

Kent State has lost each of its last 18 games against AP-ranked teams.
Florida State has won 27 of its last 32 games against non-conference opponents at Doak Campbell Stadium.
Kent State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in September.
The home team has covered the spread in three of Kent State’s last four games.
Florida State has won the first half in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

Six of Kent State’s last seven games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Four of Florida State’s last five games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Florida State ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
Florida State ranks T3rd among FBS teams for points per game this season (54.0).
Kent State ranks 130th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (13.3).
Kent State ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (469.3).

David Racey is 16-9 (64%) in his last 25 College Football plays this season. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

Kent State vs Florida State Prediction 

Florida State picked up a huge win over Alabama in week one and they played an FCS team in week two, so they will continue their season with another tune up game here. The Seminoles are the way better team in this matchup and should do whatever they want on both sides of the ball. Kent State hasn’t beaten an FBS team in years, but they did come close to winning against Buffalo this past weekend. The Golden Flashes already have a 62-14 loss to Texas Tech and I don’t see this game being any closer. Take the Seminoles here.