Sep 20, 2025; East Hartford, Connecticut, USA; Ball State Cardinals running back Qua Ashley (9) runs the ball for a touchdown against the Connecticut Huskies in the second half at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-Imagn Images
David Butler II-Imagn Images

Kent State vs Ball State Prediction 11/5/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Kent State (3-5) vs Ball State (3-5)

November 5, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Ball State -2.5 — Over/Under: +46.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Kent State vs Ball State Prediction for this College Football Week 11 game on Wednesday, November 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Ball State Cardinals Preview

Ball State has a 3-5 record this season and is sitting 7th in the MAC. They are 5-3 ATS, 3-5 in Over/Under and have a 3-0 home record and a 0-5 away record. Ball State is coming off a 7-21 road loss against Northern Illinois and will face Eastern Michigan, Toledo and Miami (OH) next.

Offensively, Ball State averages 16.4 points per game, ranking 130th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.8 points per game, which is 102nd. Ball State averages 272.8 total yards per game (129.8 passing and 143 rushing), while allowing 415.6 total yards per game (186.0 rushing and 229.6 passing).

Kiael Kelly leads Ball State with 982 passing yards with 57.1% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Qua Ashley leads the team in rushing yards with 513, while Eric Weatherly has a team-high 19 receptions for 143 receiving yards. Defensively, Alfred Chea has a team-high 44 total tackles (25 of them solo), while Nathan Voorhis leads the team in sacks, with 10.0. Roman Pearson, Joedrick Lewis and Eric McClain lead the team with one interception each.

Kent State Golden Flashes Preview

Kent State has a 3-5 record this season and is sitting 8th in the MAC. They are 5-3 ATS, 4-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-4 away record. Kent State is coming off a 24-21 home win against Bowling Green and will face Akron, Central Michigan and Northern Illinois next.

Offensively, Kent State averages 18.6 points per game, ranking 125th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 36.5 points per game, which is 131st. Kent State averages 268.1 total yards per game (180.5 passing and 87.6 rushing), while allowing 465.5 total yards per game (204.9 rushing and 260.6 passing).

Dru DeShields leads Kent State with 1,109 passing yards with 57.2% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Jordan Nubin leads the team in rushing yards with 196, while DaShawn Martin has a team-high 20 receptions for 257 receiving yards. Defensively, CJ Young has a team-high 58 total tackles (29 of them solo), while Jamond Mathis leads the team in sacks, with 3.0. CJ Young, Derrick Jackson, Joel Boamah and Clinton Robinson lead the team with one interception each.

Kent State Golden Flashes @ Ball State Cardinals Betting Trends: Week 11


Ball State Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, Nathan Voorhis ranks 2nd amongst FBS players for sacks (10.0) this season.

Kent State Golden Flashes Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, Cade Wolford ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (26.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ball State has scored fewer than 10 points in four road games this season – most of any FBS team.
  • Ball State has scored fewer than five points in three road games this season – most of any FBS team.
  • Kent State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
  • Kent State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (4).

Kent State vs Ball State Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Ball State won 37-35 on the road and are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against Kent State and have won their last five home meetings.  

In this Kent State vs Ball State Prediction, Ball State is coming as -2.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 46.5 points. Both teams have identical overall record, but Ball State has been undefeated in their three home games this season, while Kent State is winless in its four road games. I cannot make a case for the home team as they have been terrible offensively and both teams score 35 points per game combined and are 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games combined. I expect another low-scoring affair, so give me the under 46.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 46.5

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