Kansas vs UCF Prediction 10/4/2025 Today's College Football Picks

Kansas (3-2) vs UCF (3-1)

October 4, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: UCF +5 — Over/Under: +54

In this article we will formulate a Kansas vs UCF prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 4th at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup.

Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks are 3-2 (1-1) this year after they lost to Cincinnati by a score of 37-34 in their last game. Kansas trailed 20-13 at halftime, but they managed to take the lead with 1:45 left in the game, before dropping an interception and eventually losing with 29 seconds left. The Jayhawks were out gained by a total of 603-597, went 3-8 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Jalon Daniels went 19-28 for 445 yards and four touchdowns, while Leshon Williams carried the ball 10 times for 64 yards. Emmanuel Henderson Jr led the receivers with five catches for 214 yards and two scores in the loss. The KU defense recorded one sack and three tackles for loss in the game.

In their first four games, Kansas defeated Fresno State, Wagner, and West Virginia, but did lose to Missouri. The Jayhawks are averaging 36.6 points per game with 267.2 passing yards and 183.4 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 20.6 points against per game this season. Jalon Daniels has completed 66.9% of his passes for 1,262 yards, 16 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Emmanuel Henderson Jr has 23 receptions for 435 yards and four scores. Leshon Williams has led the ground game with 245 yards and two touchdowns on 38 carries this year.

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights are 3-1 (0-1) this season after they lost to Kansas State by a score of 34-20 last week. UCF trailed 17-7 at halftime and 31-10 in the third quarter, but they did score the next 10 points to get back into the game. The Knights were out gained by a total of 434-402, went 3-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 3-1 in the game. Tayven Jackson went 12-24 for 115 yards and one interception, while Myles Montgomery carried the ball 10 times for 119 yards. DJ Black was the UCF leading receiver with one catch for 82 yards and one score. The UCF defense recorded one sack and five tackles for loss in the game.

In their first three games, UCF defeated Jacksonville State, NC A&T, and North Carolina. The Knights are averaging 34.8 points per game with 234.5 passing yards and 203.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 15.0 points against per game this season. Tayven Jackson has completed 65.3% of his passes for 809 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Duane Thomas Jr has caught 16 passes for 203 yards. Myles Montgomery has led the rushing attack with 51 carries for 268 yards and one touchdown this season.

Why UCF will beat Kansas

The home team has won each of UCF’s last four games.
Kansas has lost six of its last seven road games.
Kansas has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games in October.
The home team has covered the spread in six of UCF’s last eight games.

Why Kansas will beat UCF

UCF has lost eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
UCF has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
Kansas has covered the spread in three of its last four games in October.

Total Points Facts

Each of Kansas’ last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Four of UCF’s last five games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

UCF is one of six FBS teams to hold each of its opponents scoreless in the first quarter this season.
UCF ranks T7th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+9.5).
Kansas ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (12.6).
Kansas is one of 11 FBS teams to score 30+ points in every game this season.