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Kansas vs Texas Tech Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
Kansas (4-2) vs Texas Tech (5-0)
October 11, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Tech -14 — Over/Under: +59.5
The Kansas Jayhawks and Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Saturday in college football action at Jones AT&T Stadium. Here’s a Kansas vs Texas Tech Prediction. This article will include a Kansas vs Texas Tech Pick.
The Kansas Jayhawks beat UCF, lost to Cincinnati, and they play Kansas State next. Kansas has won 7 of its last 10 games. Jalon Daniels is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 1,497 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Emmanuel Henderson Jr. and Boden Groen have combined for 722 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Cam Pickett has 18 receptions.
The Kansas Jayhawks’ ground game is averaging 173 yards per contest, and Leshon Williams leads the way with 303 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas is allowing 20.5 points and 375.8 yards per game. Trey Lathan leads the Kansas Jayhawks with 46 tackles, Leroy Harris III has 3.5 sacks and Devin Dye has 1 interception.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders beat Houston and Utah, and they play Arizona State next. Texas Tech has won 7 straight regular season games. Behren Morton is completing 69.3 percent of his passes for 1,410 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Coy Eakin and Caleb Douglas have combined for 681 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Terrance Carter Jr. has 20 receptions.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 205 yards per contest, and Cameron Dickey leads the way with 330 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 11.2 points and 244.4 yards per game. Jacob Rodriguez leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 33 tackles, David Bailey has 5.5 sacks and Brice Pollock has 3 interceptions.
Kansas is a much improved team from what we’re used to seeing, and I have a hard time leaving this many points on the table with a team that has a good quarterback and can score the ball. However, Texas Tech is better across the board and looking more and more like a playoff contender. Texas Tech has also covered 9 of its last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. Kansas can be leaky defensively, and that’s not ideal against this explosive Texas Tech offense. This has more to do with Texas Tech than anything, a team I’m not excited to bet against right now.
Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview
The Kansas Jayhawks beat UCF, lost to Cincinnati, and they play Kansas State next. Kansas has won 7 of its last 10 games. Jalon Daniels is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 1,497 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Emmanuel Henderson Jr. and Boden Groen have combined for 722 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Cam Pickett has 18 receptions.
The Kansas Jayhawks’ ground game is averaging 173 yards per contest, and Leshon Williams leads the way with 303 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas is allowing 20.5 points and 375.8 yards per game. Trey Lathan leads the Kansas Jayhawks with 46 tackles, Leroy Harris III has 3.5 sacks and Devin Dye has 1 interception.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders beat Houston and Utah, and they play Arizona State next. Texas Tech has won 7 straight regular season games. Behren Morton is completing 69.3 percent of his passes for 1,410 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Coy Eakin and Caleb Douglas have combined for 681 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Terrance Carter Jr. has 20 receptions.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 205 yards per contest, and Cameron Dickey leads the way with 330 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 11.2 points and 244.4 yards per game. Jacob Rodriguez leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 33 tackles, David Bailey has 5.5 sacks and Brice Pollock has 3 interceptions.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won seven of its last eight games.
- Kansas has lost each of its last five games as an underdog against teams from Texas.
- Texas Tech has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Kansas has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a road underdog.
- Kansas has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Why the Kansas Jayhawks will win
- Texas Tech has lost each of its last three October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Kansas has won three of its last four games as an underdog.
- Kansas has covered the spread in each of its last six games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven October games at Jones AT&T Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas Tech’s last four games against conference opponents at Jones AT&T Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of Kansas’ last 12 road games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Cameron Dickey leads the Big 12 Conference for touchdowns (7) this season.
Kansas Jayhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Jalon Daniels ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (16) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 30+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Kansas ranks T8th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+7.3).
- Kansas ranks 127th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (30.8).
Kansas vs Texas Tech Prediction
Kansas is a much improved team from what we’re used to seeing, and I have a hard time leaving this many points on the table with a team that has a good quarterback and can score the ball. However, Texas Tech is better across the board and looking more and more like a playoff contender. Texas Tech has also covered 9 of its last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. Kansas can be leaky defensively, and that’s not ideal against this explosive Texas Tech offense. This has more to do with Texas Tech than anything, a team I’m not excited to bet against right now.
