Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Georgia Bulldogs and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in week 11 college football action from Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction.

Georgia Bulldogs Recap

The Georgia Bulldogs come into this game looking to build on a 24-20 win over Florida last time out to sit at 7-1 this season. After this game, Georgia will head home for a game against Texas.

Bulldogs Win 4th In A Row

Gunner Stockton has thrown for 1,776 yards, 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 70.3% passing while Chauncey Bowens has a team-high 446 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Nate Frazier’s added 394 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns while the aforementioned Stockton has logged 290 rushing yards and 7 TDs as well this season. Zachariah Branch leads the Bulldogs in receiving with 45 grabs for 474 yards and 2 touchdowns while Colbie Young has 23 grabs for 336 yards and a TD. Three more Bulldogs have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, CJ Allen has a team-high 69 total tackles including 39 solo tackles while Allen and Chris Cole each have a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, Georgia’s defense has combined for 8 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 38-35 win over Arkansas last time out to sit at 5-4 this season. After this game, Mississippi State will head on the road for a game against Missouri.

Bulldogs Snap Four-Game Slide

Blake Shapen has thrown for 2,148 yards, 15 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 65.1% passing while Fluff Bothwell leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 490 yards on the ground and 6 touchdowns and Davon Booth has 475 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns as well this season. Brenen Thompson has 41 receptions for 716 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns while Anthony Evans III has a team-high 52 catches for 653 yards and 4 touchdowns this season. Seydou Traore has 22 points for 229 yards and 4 TDs while three more Bulldogs have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jahron Manning has a team-high 64 total tackles while Will Whitson and DJ Reed each have a team-high 2 sacks. Brylan Lanier has a team-high 3 interceptions as well this season. As a unit, Mississippi State has combined for 18 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.

Georgia Bulldogs @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games in Mississippi.
• Georgia has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Mississippi State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Why the Georgia Bulldogs will win

• Georgia has won each of its last 46 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Mississippi State has lost each of its last 11 home games against conference opponents.
• Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five home games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the last three games between Georgia and Mississippi State.
• Mississippi State has lost the first half in 15 of its last 17 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State’s last six home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Georgia’s last six games against teams from Mississippi have gone OVER the total points line.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Ethan Pulliam ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.1) this season.

Georgia Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Gunner Stockton ranks 10th in the league for TD:INT ratio (6.00) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Mississippi State has given up the largest 3rd quarter lead to win a game this season – 17 points vs Texas.
• Mississippi State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (9.9).
• Georgia ranks 9th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (33:03).
• Georgia ranks 10th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.4).

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction

I’m on the Georgia Bulldogs here. I just think Georgia’s the better team and we’ve seen Mississippi State really have issues against the better defensive units that they’ve gone up against this season and I think this game is going to be more of the same. I haven’t been blown away by Georgia’s defense this season, but I think they’re going to be good enough in conjunction with their offense to get the win and cover in this one. Give me Georgia here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Georgia -9.5