Georgia State vs Troy Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Georgia State vs Troy Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Saturday, November 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Troy Trojans Preview

Troy has a 6-4 record this season and is sitting 9th in the Sun Belt. They are 6-4-0 ATS, 5-5-0 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 3-2 away record. Troy is coming off a 0-33 road loss against Old Dominion and will face Southern Mississippi next.

Offensively, Troy averages 24.3 points per game, ranking 89th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25 points per game, which is 73rd. Troy averages 305.6 total yards per game (194.0 passing and 111.6 rushing), while allowing 371.3 total yards per game (180.1 rushing and 191.2 passing).

Tucker Kilcrease leads Troy with 1,414 passing yards with 60.3% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Tae Meadows leads the team in rushing yards with 556, while Tray Taylor has a team-high 25 receptions for 402 receiving yards. Defensively, Jordan Stringer has a team-high 91 total tackles (38 of them solo), while Donnie Smith leads the team in sacks, with 7.

Georgia State Panthers Preview

Georgia State has a 1-9 record this season and is sitting 14th in the Sun Belt. They are 1-9-0 ATS, 6-4-0 in Over/Under and have a 1-5 home record and a 0-4 away record. Georgia State is coming off a 18-30 home loss against Marshall and will face Old Dominion next.

Offensively, Georgia State averages 20.8 points per game, ranking 114th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 39.6 points per game, which is 136th. Georgia State averages 371.5 total yards per game (253.5 passing and 118 rushing), while allowing 455.4 total yards per game (213.2 rushing and 242.2 passing).

Cameran Brown leads Georgia State with 1,239 passing yards with 65.9% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Jordon Simmons leads the team in rushing yards with 388, while Ted Hurst has a team-high 64 receptions for 928 receiving yards. Defensively, Josiah Robinson has a team-high 76 total tackles (34 of them solo).

Georgia State Panthers @ Troy Trojans Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Georgia State has lost 17 of its last 18 games against conference opponents.
• The favorite has won each of Georgia State’s last 10 games.
• Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Georgia State’s last five games.
• Troy has won the first half in 14 of its last 17 home games against conference opponents.

Why the Georgia State Panthers will win

• Georgia State has won four of its last five games in Alabama.
• Troy has lost three of its last four games in November.
• Georgia State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games in Alabama.
• Troy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a home favorite against teams from Georgia.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Georgia State’s last five road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Troy’s last five games against teams from Georgia have gone UNDER the total points line.

Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Tray Taylor ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (20.1) this season.

Georgia State Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Cameran Brown ranks 3rd in the league for TD:INT ratio (13.00) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Troy has overturned the largest 1st quarter deficit to win a game this season – 21 points vs Texas State.
• Troy ranks 125th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-4.5).
• Georgia State ranks 136th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (39.6).
• Georgia State ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (20.3).

Georgia State vs Troy Prediction

In this Georgia State vs Troy Prediction, Troy is coming as -11-point home favorites, with the total set at 51.5 points. Georgia State has been terrible this season, having won only once in their ten games played and are also 1-9 against the spread. Troy has been better this season but is coming off back-to-back losses where they scored 10 points combined. Both teams are averaging 45.1 points per game combined this season, so take the under 51.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 51.5