Fresno State vs Hawai’i Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Fresno State vs Hawaii Prediction for this College Football Week 4 game on Saturday, September 20th at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

Hawaii has a 2-1 record this season and are coming off a 38-0 home victory over Western Michigan. Offensively, Hawaii averages 22.0 points per game, which ranks 98th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 26.7 points per game, which ranks 90th in the nation. Hawaii averages 337.7 total yards per game, with 95.3 rushing yards and 242.3 passing yards per game. They allow 289.3 total yards per game, 146.3 of them rushing and 143.0 passing yards per game.

Micah Alejado leads Hawaii with 45/70 completed passes and 367 total passing yards. He also adds 20 rushing yards. Landon Sims leads the team in rushing yards, with 113, while Cam Barfield adds 80 rushing yards. Pofele Ashlock has a team-high 22 caught passes for a team-high 218 receiving yards, and has 3 touchdowns. Landon Sims has caught 14 passes for 109 yards, and 1 touchdown.

Defensively, Peter Manuma has a team-high 21 total tackles, 11 of them solo, and 1.0 total sacks. Kilnahe Mendiola-Jensen adds 10 total tackles, 7 of them solo and 1 interception. Jackie Johnson III leads Hawaii in sacks, with 3.0, while Kilnahe Mendiola-Jensen and Giovanni Iovino each have 1 interception.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

Fresno State has a 2-1 record this season and are coming off a 56-7 home victory over Southern. Offensively, the Bulldogs average 28.3 points per game, which ranks 72nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 26.3 points per game, which ranks 87th in the nation. Fresno State averages 392.0 total yards per game, with 202.5 rushing yards and 189.5 passing yards per game. They allow 323.8 total yards per game, 110.5 of them rushing and 213.3 passing yards per game.

E.J. Warner leads the Bulldogs with 71/98 completed passes and 716 total passing yards. He also adds 52 rushing yards and 1 touchdown. Bryson Donelson leads the team in rushing yards, with 325 and 2 touchdowns, while Rayshon Luke adds 224 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Ezekial Avit has a team-high 13 caught passes for 110 receiving yards. Rayshon Luke has caught 12 passes for 80 yards, and 1 touchdown.

Defensively, Jadon Pearson has a team-high 35 total tackles, 21 of them solo. Simeon Harris adds 12 total tackles, 6 of them solo and 1 interception. Finn Claypool leads the Bulldogs in sacks, with 1.5, while Simeon Harris, Ryan Wilson, and Jakari Embry each have 1 total interceptions.

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Trends: Week 4

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Kansei Matsuzawa ranks 1st amongst FBS players for made field goals (11) this season.

Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Rayshon Luke ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Hawaii has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Hawaii has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Fresno State has the worst single-game yard differential in a win this season (318-528 vs Oregon State in Week 2).
• Fresno State ranks T3rd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (88).

Fresno State vs Hawaii Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Hawaii won 21-20 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total. Hawaii is 3-1 in their last 4 overall meetings against Fresno State, but Fresno State is 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Hawaii. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Fresno State vs Hawaii Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -3.5-point road favorites. I don’t like either side in this matchup, as both teams are coming off multiple wins and seem to be in good form to start the season. I don’t trust the Bulldogs on the road yet, but they have been red-hot offensively, having scored 36+ points in their last three games, and are 3-1 to the over this season. Hawaii has scored a combined 60 points in their last two games, and I expect both offenses to keep rolling today. Take the over 47.5 points.