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Florida vs Kentucky Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
Florida (3-5) vs Kentucky (3-5)
November 8, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Kentucky +3 — Over/Under: +43.5
In this article, we will formulate a Florida vs Kentucky Prediction for this College Football Week 11 game on Saturday, November 8th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Offensively, Kentucky averages 22.4 points per game, ranking 103rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.8 points per game, which is 86th. Kentucky averages 346.1 total yards per game (201.3 passing and 144.9 rushing), while allowing 366.9 total yards per game (130.1 rushing and 236.8 passing).
Cutter Boley leads Kentucky with 1,376 passing yards with 65.8% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Seth McGowan leads the team in rushing yards with 529, while Kendrick Law has a team-high 30 receptions for 351 receiving yards. Defensively, Alex Afari Jr. has a team-high 49 total tackles (29 of them solo), while Steven Soles Jr. leads the team in sacks, with 3.5, and Ty Bryant and Jordan Lovett lead the team with 2 interceptions each.
Offensively, Florida averages 22.1 points per game, ranking 108th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.5 points per game, which is 32nd. Florida averages 352.8 total yards per game (226.3 passing and 126.5 rushing), while allowing 340.5 total yards per game (120.3 rushing and 220.3 passing).
DJ Lagway leads Florida with 1,679 passing yards with 65.0% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Jadan Baugh leads the team in rushing yards with 683, while Vernell Brown III has a team-high 32 receptions for 451 receiving yards. Defensively, Myles Graham has a team-high 48 total tackles (23 of them solo), while George Gumbs leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, and Jordan Castell and Devin Moore lead the team with 2 interceptions each.
In this Florida vs Kentucky Prediction, Florida is coming as -3.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 45.5 points. Both teams have identical records this season and neither has been in good form lately, with both offenses being sub-par this season, averaging 44.5 points per game combined. Florida has the 32nd-best defense in the country and I expect this game to be a low-scoring affair. Take the under 45.5 points in this one.
Kentucky Wildcats Preview
Kentucky has a 3-5 record this season and is sitting 14th in the SEC. They are 3-5 ATS, 5-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 1-2 away record. Kentucky is coming off a 10-3 road win against Auburn and will face Tennessee Tech, Vanderbilt and Louisville next.Offensively, Kentucky averages 22.4 points per game, ranking 103rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.8 points per game, which is 86th. Kentucky averages 346.1 total yards per game (201.3 passing and 144.9 rushing), while allowing 366.9 total yards per game (130.1 rushing and 236.8 passing).
Cutter Boley leads Kentucky with 1,376 passing yards with 65.8% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Seth McGowan leads the team in rushing yards with 529, while Kendrick Law has a team-high 30 receptions for 351 receiving yards. Defensively, Alex Afari Jr. has a team-high 49 total tackles (29 of them solo), while Steven Soles Jr. leads the team in sacks, with 3.5, and Ty Bryant and Jordan Lovett lead the team with 2 interceptions each.
Florida Gators Preview
Florida has a 3-5 record this season and is sitting 12th in the SEC. They are 3-5 ATS, 2-6 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-3 away record. Florida is coming off a 20-24 neutral site loss against Georgia and will face Ole Miss, Tennessee and Florida State next.Offensively, Florida averages 22.1 points per game, ranking 108th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.5 points per game, which is 32nd. Florida averages 352.8 total yards per game (226.3 passing and 126.5 rushing), while allowing 340.5 total yards per game (120.3 rushing and 220.3 passing).
DJ Lagway leads Florida with 1,679 passing yards with 65.0% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Jadan Baugh leads the team in rushing yards with 683, while Vernell Brown III has a team-high 32 receptions for 451 receiving yards. Defensively, Myles Graham has a team-high 48 total tackles (23 of them solo), while George Gumbs leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, and Jordan Castell and Devin Moore lead the team with 2 interceptions each.
Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- The underdog has won three of the last four games between Florida and Kentucky.
- Florida has lost three of its last four November games as a road favorite.
- Kentucky has covered the spread in each of its last four home games against Florida.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 November games as a favorite.
- Florida has lost the first half in each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Kentucky has lost each of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
- Florida has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has covered the spread in each of its last four games in November.
- Kentucky has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last six games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of Kentucky’s last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Kentucky Wildcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Jordan Lovett ranks T3rd in the Southeastern Conference for interceptions (2) this season.
Florida Gators Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Trey Smack ranks T15th amongst FBS players for made field goals (14) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kentucky ranks T126th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-4.6).
- Kentucky ranks 119th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (10.5).
- Florida ranks 129th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (30.7).
- Florida ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.4).
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction
In their previous meeting last season, Florida won 48-20 at home but Kentucky has won their three meetings before that.In this Florida vs Kentucky Prediction, Florida is coming as -3.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 45.5 points. Both teams have identical records this season and neither has been in good form lately, with both offenses being sub-par this season, averaging 44.5 points per game combined. Florida has the 32nd-best defense in the country and I expect this game to be a low-scoring affair. Take the under 45.5 points in this one.
