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East Carolina vs UTSA Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | East Carolina Pirates | UTSA Roadrunners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Spread | -2.5 -110 | +2.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | Over 61.5 (-115) | Under 61.5 (-105) |
| Where | Alamodome, San Antonio, TX | |
| When | Saturday, November 22, 2025 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
East Carolina Pirates Betting Preview
The East Carolina Pirates beat Charlotte and Memphis, and they play FAU next. East Carolina has won 4 straight games. Katin Houser is completing 66.6 percent of his passes for 2,801 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Anthony Smith and Yannick Smith have combined for 1,328 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Brock Spalding has 35 receptions.
The East Carolina Pirates ground game is averaging 179.6 yards per contest, and London Montgomery leads the way with 637 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, East Carolina is allowing 18.3 points and 339.1 yards per game. Ja’Marley Riddle leads the East Carolina Pirates with 58 tackles, Zion Wilson has 5 sacks and Teagan Wilk has 1 interception.
UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview
The UTSA Roadrunners lost to USF, beat Charlotte, and play Army next. UTSA has split its last 10 games. Owen McCown is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 2,186 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Devin McCuin and AJ Wilson have combined for 1,015 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while David Amador II has 35 receptions.
The UTSA Roadrunners ground game is averaging 171.3 yards per contest, and Robert Henry Jr. leads the way with 983 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, UTSA is allowing 30.4 points and 388.1 yards per game. Shad Banks Jr. leads the UTSA Roadrunners with 64 tackles, Nnanna Anyanwu has 5 sacks and Tyan Milton has 2 interceptions.
Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win
- UTSA has won each of its last 24 games against conference opponents at Alamodome.
- East Carolina has lost nine of its last 12 games against teams from Texas.
- UTSA has covered the spread in each of its last eight games against conference opponents at Alamodome.
- East Carolina has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the East Carolina Pirates will win
- East Carolina has won each of its last eight November games as a road favorite.
- East Carolina has covered the spread in four of its last five games in Texas.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UTSA’s last eight games at Alamodome have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of East Carolina’s last eight November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Robert Henry ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (7.1) this season.
East Carolina Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Katin Houser ranks 13th amongst qualified players for sack percentage (3.3%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UTSA ranks T122nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (91.2).
- UTSA ranks T21st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (8.5).
- East Carolina ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (10.0).
- East Carolina ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.3).
East Carolina vs UTSA Prediction
UTSA is at home and needs one more win to clinch a bowl berth, so I can understand why oddsmakers are showing them some love. However, this line is soft. East Carolina is simply the better team playing the better football. East Carolina has a top-20 total offense and should have a field day against a UTSA squad that’s 112th in scoring defense. UTSA is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. I’m not getting enough points to step in front of an ECU squad playing its best ball of the season. Give me East Carolina and the small number.
