Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Colorado State vs New Mexico prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 15th at University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

Colorado State Rams Betting Preview

The Colorado State Rams are 2-7 (1-4) this season after they lost to UNLV by a score of 42-10 in their last game. Colorado State led 10-7 in the second quarter, but they allowed the last 35 points for the lopsided loss. The Rams were out gained by a total of 571-292, went 1-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Jackson Brousseau went 13-22 for 153 yards and one touchdown, while Jalen Dupree rushed 13 times for 56 yards. Rocky Beers led the receivers with four receptions for 61 yards and one score in the loss. The CSU defense recorded zero sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Colorado State lost to Wyoming by a score of 28-0 and Hawaii by a score of 31-19. The Rams have lost six of their last seven games and they are currently second to last in the Mountain West standings. Colorado State has scored 18.3 points per game with 187.7 passing yards and 137.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.8 points against per game this season. Jackson Brousseau has thrown for 993 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Jalen Dupree has rushed 102 times for 508 yards and two scores this season. 

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos are 6-3 (3-2) this year after they defeated UNLV by a score of 40-35 in their last game. New Mexico led 31-21 at halftime, but needed a touchdown with about three minutes left to get the win. The Lobos out gained UNLV by a total of 532-474, went 3-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 3-1 in the game. Jack Layne went 17-22 for 342 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while James Laubstein rushed eight times for 99 yards. Keagan Johnson led the receivers with six catches for 158 yards and one score in the win. The UNM defense recorded two sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, New Mexico defeated Utah State by a score of 33-14 and Nevada by a score of 24-22. The Lobos have won three games in a row and they are currently tied for fourth in the Mountain West standings. New Mexico has scored 30.2 points per game with 235.1 passing yards and 154.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.9 points against per game this season. Jack Layne has thrown for 1,940 yards, 12 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Keagan Johnson has 45 receptions for 573 yards and three scores this year. 

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• Colorado State has lost each of its last nine November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico has won each of its last five games at University Stadium.
• Colorado State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 games between Colorado State and New Mexico.
• New Mexico has won the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between Colorado State and New Mexico have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Colorado State’s last five games at University Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico ranks 120th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (260.0).
• New Mexico ranks T21st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (66.7).
• Colorado State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.3).
• Colorado State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-5.3).

Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction 

New Mexico comes into this matchup looking for their fourth straight win and they have scored at least 33 in their last two. The Lobos are having a great season and they should get another win here. Colorado State has lost three games in a row and they have scored a total of 29 points in those three losses. The Rams are really struggling on both sides of the ball and I don’t think they have the offense to keep pace with New Mexico. Take the Lobos to cover at home.

David Racey is 117-95 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!

David Racey's Pick: New Mexico -14.5