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Colorado State vs Air Force Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24
Pick details
Air Force (1-5) vs Colorado State (3-3)
October 19, 2024 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Air Force +7 / Colorado State -7 — Over/Under: 46
The Colorado State Rams and Air Force Falcons meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Falcon Stadium. Here’s a Colorado State vs Air Force Prediction. This article will include a Colorado State vs Air Force Pick.
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview
The Colorado State Rams lost to Oregon State, beat San Jose State, and play New Mexico next. Colorado State has lost 6 straight road games. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 1,134 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Tory Horton and Armani Winfield have combined for 531 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jamari Person has 17 receptions.
The Colorado State Rams ground game is averaging 176.5 yards per contest, and Avery Morrow leads the way with 490 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing 29.5 points and 405.3 yards per game. Buom Jock leads the Colorado State Rams with 55 tackles, Gabe Kirschke has 2 sacks and Chase Wilson has 1 interception.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Air Force Falcons lost to Navy and New Mexico, and they will play Army next. The Air Force Falcons have lost 3 of their last 4 home games. John Busha is completing 35.2 percent of his passes for 240 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Quin Smith and Cade Harris have combined for 316 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Tre Roberson has 3 receptions.
The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 198.3 yards per contest, and Harris leads the way with 193 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 28.5 points and 377.5 yards per game. Jamari Bellamy leads the Air Force Falcons with 34 tackles, Payton Zdroik has 3 sacks and Jerome Gaillard Jr. has 1 interception.
Why the Colorado State Rams will win
- Air Force has lost nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won 11 of Colorado State’s last 12 games.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games.
- Colorado State has covered the spread in each of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Four of Air Force’s last five games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Colorado State’s last five October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Air Force ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (5.5).
- Air Force ranks 130th among FBS teams for points per game this season (15.7).
- Colorado State ranks T112th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (10.3).
- Colorado State ranks T108th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (4.0).
Colorado State vs Air Force Prediction
I’m not thrilled to lay points with the Colorado State Rams on the road, but this is more about just how bad Air Force is. The Air Force Falcons are awful on both sides of the ball, especially offensively, where they’re 130th in scoring. Air Force is also 0-6 ATS on the season, so there’s zero betting value with the Falcons. Air Force has won 7 straight games against Colorado State, but this feels like where the streak ends. Give me Colorado State to get a much-needed road win. Air Force is going nowhere fast.