Oregon State (4-2) vs UNLV (5-1)
Game Info: Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 10:00 pm (Reser Stadium)
Betting Odds: Oregon State +5.5 / UNLV -5.5 --- Over/Under: 61 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The UNLV Rebels and the Oregon State Beavers meet Saturday in college football action from Reser Stadium. Here’s a UNLV vs Oregon State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UNLV vs Oregon State pick. We will examine:
The UNLV Rebels' recent form and player performance
The Oregon State Beavers' recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UNLV Rebels
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Oregon State Beavers
Recent betting trends in games played between UNLV vs Oregon State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UNLV vs Oregon State game
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
The Rebels got off to a nice start this year, notching wins in their first four games. During that quartet UNLV took out Houston 27-7, Utah Tech 72-14, Kansas 23-20, and Fresno State 59-14 before a tough overtime loss to Syracuse 44-41.
Last Friday versus Utah State, the Rebels were up 41-7 by halftime and cruised to the eventual 50-34 win. Hajj-Malik Williams managed 233 yards and three scores on 13 completions. Jai’Den Thomas (139 yards; TD) and Kylin James (105 yards; two TDs) did most of the rushing work.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
Over on the Beavers’ side, they kicked off the year with a couple of victories over Idaho State 38-15 and San Diego State 21-0. Oregon State got blown out by Oregon 49-14 before two more wins over Purdue 38-21 and Colorado State (OT) 39-31.
In their matchup versus Nevada last weekend, the Beavers scored in every quarter—and gave up points in every quarter—in a 42-37 loss. Gevani McCoy threw for 348 yards and a score but also had four picks. Anthony Hankerson led the rush with 28 carries for 154 yards and three TDs.
Why the Oregon State Beavers will win
- Oregon State has won each of its last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UNLV has lost 13 of its last 16 October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a favorite.
- Oregon State has covered the spread in each of its last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
- UNLV has won seven of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has lost seven of its last eight games as an underdog.
- UNLV has covered the spread in 18 of its last 19 road games against non-conference opponents.
- Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents at Reser Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UNLV's last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Oregon State's last four games has gone OVER the total points line.
UNLV vs Oregon State Prediction
I’m going with UNLV. The Rebels were great in their last outing versus a struggling Utah State team, notching 546 yards (313 rushing), 8.1 yards per play, and 25 first downs. The defense came up with four takeaways as well. If there are any gripes it’s that UNLV was just 4-of-12 on third-down trees and gave up 461 yards. That said, a lot of that came in second-half garbage time with the game essentially out of reach. The Rebels have scored 41 or more points in three straight games—but they’ve also given up a combined 78 in the last pair.
As for Oregon State, they gained 562 yards on offense (214 rushing) with 35 first downs and 12-of-16 on third-down tries in their latest loss to Nevada. The Beavers also had four turnovers and gave up 353 rushing yards, though. I do like Oregon State to rebound fairly well in this one but I don’t think they’ll cover.
Andrew’s Pick UNLV Rebels -5.5
AUTHOR: Andrew Jett
Follow Andrew Jett on Twitter @PickDawgzAndrew