New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24

Utah State (1-5) vs New Mexico (2-4)

Game Info: Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 4:00 pm (Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium)

Betting Odds: Utah State +2 / New Mexico -2 --- Over/Under: 78.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: TruTV

In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico vs Utah State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 19th at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup. 

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos are 2-4 (1-1) this season after they defeated Air Force by a score of 52-37 in their last game. New Mexico trailed 3-0 in the first quarter, but they scored 45 of the next 59 points and pulled away for the easy win. The Lobos were outgained by a total of 476-438, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 6-10 on third down in the game. Devon Dampier threw for 179 yards and one touchdown, while Eli Sanders rushed for 80 yards and two scores. 

New Mexico also has a win over New Mexico State during this two-game winning streak, but they do have losses against Montana State, Arizona, Auburn, and Fresno State. The UNM offense has scored 39.3 points per game with 248 passing yards and 208.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 42.7 points per game this season. The Lobos have gone 41.1% on third down and 6-11 on fourth down so far this season. Devon Dampier has completed 58.7% of his passes for 1,488 yards, seven touchdowns, and six interceptions, while also rushing for 382 yards and eight scores. 

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

The Utah State Aggies are 1-5 (0-2) this year after they lost to UNLV by a score of 50-34 in their last game. Utah State trailed 41-7 at halftime, but they played much better in the second half and ended up covering the spread. The Aggies outgained UNLV by a total of 584-548, lost the turnover battle 4-0, and went 8-17 on third down in the game. Spencer Petras threw for 461 yards and three touchdowns, while Rahsul Faison rushed for 83 yards and one score. 

Utah State has also lost to Boise State, Temple, Utah, and USC during this losing streak, but they did open the season with a win over Robert Morris. The USU offense has scored 28 points per game with 302.8 passing yards and 162.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 42.8 points per game this season. The Aggies have gone 36.3% on third down and 8-16 on fourth down through six games. Spencer Petras has completed 65.4% of his passes for 1,271 yards, nine touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Jalen Royals has caught 44 passes for 646 yards and five scores.

Why Utah State will cover

  • New Mexico has lost each of its last four October games as a road favorite.
  • Utah State has won each of its last three home games against New Mexico.
  • Utah State has covered the spread in each of its last six home games in October.
  • New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games as a road favorite.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Utah State's last five October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of New Mexico's last five games in October has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Utah State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (42.8).
  • Utah State ranks 131st among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (493.7).
  • New Mexico ranks 132nd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (498.3).
  • New Mexico ranks 132nd among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (256.3).

New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction 

Utah State comes into this matchup on a five-game losing streak and they have allowed at least 45 points in four of those five losses. New Mexico is just 2-4 on the year, but they have won two games in a row and they have scored 102 points in those two wins. The Lobos also have plenty of issues on the defensive side of the ball, so we should see plenty of offense in this game. The total is currently at 78.5, which is the highest of the season, but I am going to take the points with Utah State. The Aggies battled against UNLV in the second half and New Mexico’s wins against Air Force and NMSU don’t do much for me. Take Utah State and the points at home. 

David’s Pick Utah State +2

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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