Oct 11, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bearcats quarterback Brendan Sorsby (2) looks to pass against the UCF Knights in the first half at Nippert Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

Cincinnati vs Oklahoma State Prediction 10/18/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Cincinnati (5-1) vs Oklahoma State (1-5)

October 18, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma State +21.5 — Over/Under: +58.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Oklahoma State Cowboys meet in week 8 college football action from Boone Pickens Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction.

Cincinnati Bearcats Recap

The Cincinnati Bearcats come into this game looking to add on to their 20-11 win over UCF last time out to sit at 5-1 this season. After this game, Cincinnati will head home for a game against Baylor.

Bearcats Win 5 Straight

Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 1,448 yards, 14 touchdowns and an interception on 64.7% passing while also rushing for 327 yards and 5 touchdowns so far this season. Evan Pryor leads Cincinnati in rushing with 349 yards and 2 touchdowns while Tawee Walker has 344 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Caleb Goodie has a team-high 354 receiving yards and 2 TDs while Cyrus Allen leads Cincinnati with 27 catches for 294 yards and 5 touchdowns. Jeff Caldwell has 278 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns and Joe Royer has 265 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns as well. Two more Bearcats have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jake Golday has a team-high 55 total tackles including 24 solo tackles along with 3 sacks while Cincinnati’s defense as a whole has combined for 15 sacks so far this season.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Recap

The Oklahoma State Cowboys come into this game looking to bounce back from a 39-17 loss at the hands of Houston in their last game to sit at 1-5 this season. After this game, Oklahoma State will head on the road for a game against Texas Tech.

Cowboys Drop 5th In A Row

Zane Flores has thrown for 696 yards and 3 INTs on 55% passing while Rodney Fields Jr. has rushed for a team-high 257 yards on 55 carries so far this season. Gavin Freeman leads OK State with 19 receptions for 203 yards and 2 touchdowns while Rodney Fields Jr. has 16 catches for 188 yards and a touchdown. Shamar Rigby and Terrill Davis each have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Bryan McCoy Jr. has team-high 40 total tackles while Wendell Gregory’s added a team-high 3 sacks for the Cowboys so far this season. As a unit, Oklahoma State has combined for 12 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

Cincinnati Bearcats @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Trends: Week 8

Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win

  • Oklahoma State has won each of its last four October games as a home underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • Cincinnati has lost three of its last four road games.
  • Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against teams from Oklahoma.
  • Oklahoma State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 October games against AP-ranked teams.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

  • Oklahoma State has lost each of its last 13 games against conference opponents.
  • The team ranked 24th in the AP Poll has won seven of its last eight games.
  • Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
  • The team ranked 24th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in 10 of its last 13 games.
  • Oklahoma State has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of Cincinnati’s last 10 October games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Oklahoma State’s last four games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 8, Zane Flores has the most pass attempts without a passing touchdown this season (140).

Cincinnati Bearcats Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 8, Brendan Sorsby ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (0.6%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Oklahoma State has lost the second quarter in each of its last five games – longest active streak in the FBS.
  • Oklahoma State ranks 135th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (23.3).
  • Cincinnati ranks 136th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (24:09).
  • Cincinnati ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).

Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction

I’m on Cincinnati here. The Bearcats’ offense, which had been so dynamic so far this season, kind of lapsed in that UCF game, but even a mediocre effort here should be enough to cover this line. Oklahoma State’s shown little fight this season as 2025 is just a disaster for Oklahoma State football and I think it gets worse before it gets better here. Give me Cincinnati.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cincinnati -21.5

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