California vs Stanford Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Cal Golden Bears and the Stanford Cardinal meet in week 13 college football action from Stanford Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cal Golden Bears vs. Stanford Cardinal prediction.

Cal Golden Bears Recap

The Cal Golden Bears come into this game looking to build on a 29-26 win over Louisville prior to last week’s bye week to sit at 6-4 this season. After this game, Cal will finish the regular season at home against SMU.

Golden Bears Clinch Bowl Eligibility

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has thrown for 2,518 yards, 13 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 61.5% passing while Kendrick Raphael has a team-high 695 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns so far this season. Jacob De Jesus leads Cal with 73 receptions for 699 yards and 4 TDs while Trond Drizzell has 565 receiving yards with a touchdown and Mason Mini has 34 grabs for 382 yards and 4 touchdowns so far this season. Another pair of Golden Bears have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Cade Uluave has a team-high 81 total tackles along with 3 sacks while Luke Ferrelli has 72 total tackles and a sack. Hezekiah Masses has a team-high 5 interceptions and Ty Bush Jr. has 5 sacks while Cal’s defense as a whole has combined for 18 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.

Stanford Cardinal Recap

The Stanford Cardinal come into this game looking to rebound from a 20-15 loss at the hands of North Carolina last time out to sit at 3-7 this season. After this game, Stanford will head home for a game against Notre Dame.

Cardinal Lose 3 In A Row

Ben Gulbranson has thrown for 1,813 yards, 9 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 56.9% passing while Micah Ford leads the Cardinal in rushing with 493 yards and 3 TDs and Cole Tabb has 411 rushing yards as well this season. CJ Williams has 53 receptions for 659 receiving yards and 5 TDs while Bryce Farrell has 440 receiving yards as well this season. Sam Roush has 458 receiving yards while Caden High has 380 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Matt Rose has a team-high 83 total tackles including 41 solo tackles while Clay Patterson has a team-high 3.5 sacks and Stanford’s defense as a whole has combined for 18 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

California Golden Bears @ Stanford Cardinal Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the Stanford Cardinal will win

• The home team has won 13 of Stanford’s last 14 games.
• California has lost five of its last six games after coming off overtime.
• California has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games in California.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of Stanford’s last five games at Stanford Stadium.
• Stanford has won the first quarter in each of its last four home games against conference opponents.

Why the California Golden Bears will win

• Stanford has lost each of its last eight November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• California has won each of its last four games against Stanford.
• Stanford has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 11 home games against teams from California.
• California has covered the spread in each of its last four road games against Stanford.
• Stanford has lost the first half in nine of its last 11 home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of Stanford’s last 13 home games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of California’s last six games against teams from California have gone UNDER the total points line.

Stanford Cardinal Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, C.J. Williams ranks T32nd amongst FBS players for receptions (53) this season.

California Golden Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Hezekiah Masses ranks T1st amongst FBS players for interceptions (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Stanford ranks 135th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (75.9).
• Stanford ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.3).
• California ranks 134th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (78.4).
• California ranks T104th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (6.2).

Cal Golden Bears vs. Stanford Cardinal Prediction

I’m on the Golden Bears here. I think the bye week was good for Cal to avoid the letdown spot after clinching bowl eligibility with the massive upset win over Louisville. I have to wonder where Stanford’s heads will be at for this game after losing their shot at bowl season even in a rivalry game at home. I think Cal’s the better team here and I think they get the win and cover on the road in this one. Give me Cal.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cal -3.5