Louisville Cardinals linebacker Kalib Perry stops Bowling Green Falcons running back Chris McMillian as the Cards (3-0) cruised past Bowling Green 40-17 in football Saturday, Sept. 20, 2025, in Louisville, Kentucky
Matt Stone/Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Buffalo Bulls Bowling Green Falcons
Team Records 5-4 3-6
Where Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH
When Saturday, November 1, 2025
Time 12:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls and Bowling Green Falcons meet Saturday in college football action at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Here’s a Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction. This article will include a Buffalo vs Bowling Green Pick.

Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bulls lost to Akron, beat UMASS, and they play Central Michigan next. Buffalo has split its last 8 games. Ta’Quan Roberson is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 1,603 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Victor Snow and Nik McMillan have combined for 1,063 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Jasaiah Gathings has 23 receptions.

The Buffalo Bulls ground game is averaging 151.9 yards per contest, and Al-Jay Henderson leads the way with 544 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 21.3 points and 338.7 yards per game. Red Murdock leads the Buffalo Bulls with 92 tackles, Kobe Stewart has 4 sacks and Jalen McNair has 2 interceptions.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons lost to Central Michigan and Kent State, and play Eastern Michigan next. Bowling Green has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Drew Pyne is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 830 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. RJ Garcia II and Jyrin Johnson have combined for 553 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Finn Hogan has 12 receptions.

The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 151 yards per contest, and Chris McMillian leads the way with 317 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 25.4 points and 354.9 yards per game. Gideon Lampron leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 77 tackles, Myles Bradley has 4 sacks and Dorian Pringle has 1 interception.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

  • Bowling Green has won three of its last four home games.
  • Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Bowling Green has covered the spread in three of its last four games against Buffalo.

Why the Buffalo Bulls will win

  • Bowling Green has lost four of its last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The underdog has won each of Bowling Green’s last three games.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Bowling Green’s last nine games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
  • Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of Bowling Green’s last 11 games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Nine of Buffalo’s last 11 games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 10, Cameron Pettaway ranks 8th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (396) this season.

Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 10, Al-Jay Henderson leads the Mid-American Conference for rush attempts (143) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Bowling Green ranks 122nd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (316.0).
  • Bowling Green ranks 121st among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (9.1).
  • Buffalo ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.1).
  • Buffalo ranks 14th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (7.8).

Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction

Bowling Green has played its best ball at home this season, where all 3 of its wins have come, but are we sure Buffalo isn’t the better team overall? Bowling Green has no offense to speak of, and the defense is shaky at best. Buffalo has been more competitive over the last month and is sharper defensively with a top-40 passing defense and top-40 scoring defense. Buffalo also has two road wins this season. It feels like we’re getting points with the better team. I’ll take a shot with the Bulls and the points on Saturday.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Buffalo Bulls +2.5

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