Bowling Green vs Kent State Prediction 10/25/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Bowling Green vs Kent State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 25th at Dix Stadium in Kent, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 9 matchup. 

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons are 3-4 (1-2) this season after they lost to Central Michigan by a score of 27-6 last week. Bowling Green led 3-0 after the first quarter, but they were outscored 27-3 in the final three quarters for the loss. The Falcons out gained CMU by a total of 310-276, went 5-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Lucian Anderson III went 17-25 for 153 yards and two interceptions, while also rushing for 53 yards on 11 carries. RJ Garcia II led the receivers with three catches for 60 yards in the loss. The BG defense recorded zero sacks and six tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Bowling Green defeated Toledo by a score of 28-23, but did lose to Ohio by a score of 35-20 before that. The Falcons have lost three of their last four games and they are currently eighth in the MAC standings. Bowling Green has scored 20.0 points per game with 164.0 passing yards and 143.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.6 points against per game this season. Lucian Anderson III has thrown for 245 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Chris McMillian has rushed for 267 yards and three scores on 66 carries this season. 

Kent State Golden Flashes Betting Preview

The Kent State Golden Flashes are 2-5 (1-2) this year after they lost to Toledo by a score of 45-10 in their last game. Kent State led 10-0 in the first quarter, but they failed to score over the last 52 minutes in the blowout loss. The Golden Flashes were out gained by a total of 552-224, went 3-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Dru DeShields went 12-23 for 159 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Jordan Nubin rushed for 61 yards and 13 carries. Cade Wolford led the receivers with three catches for 87 yards and one score in the loss. The Kent State defense recorded one sack and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Kent State defeated UMass by a score of 42-6, but did lose to Oklahoma by a score of 44-0 before that. The Golden Flashes have lost five of their last six games and they are currently eighth in the MAC standings. Kent State has scored 17.9 points per game with 181.7 passing yards and 82.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 38.7 points against per game this season. Dru DeShields has thrown for 949 yards, 10 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Cade Wolford has 13 receptions for 329 yards and five scores this year. 

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

Kent State has lost 18 of its last 19 games against conference opponents.
The favorite has won 30 of Kent State’s last 31 games.
Kent State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games against teams from Ohio.
The road team has covered the spread in each of the last five games between Bowling Green and Kent State.

Total Points Facts

Each of Bowling Green’s last four games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Eight of Kent State’s last 10 home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Kent State has suffered the most road losses by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
Kent State has suffered the most road losses by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
Bowling Green ranks 125th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (307.0).
Bowling Green ranks T125th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-3.9).

Bowling Green vs Kent State Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with one conference win on the season, but Bowling Green should be the much better team. The Falcons did beat Toledo two weeks ago, but only scored six points in their last game against CMU. Kent State picked up their first FBS win in a few years earlier this year, but they are still one of the bottom teams in the FBS. The Golden Flashes have allowed 44 points or more in three of their last four games and I don’t have much faith in them keeping this close. Take Bowling Green to cover here.

David Racey is 80-61 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!