Boise State vs Nevada Prediction 10/24/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Boise State vs Nevada prediction for this College Football game on Friday, October 24th at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 9 matchup. 

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

The Boise State Broncos are 5-2 (3-0) this year after they defeated UNLV by a score of 56-31 in their last game. Boise State led 28-24 at halftime and scored 21 points in the third quarter to pull away in the game. The Broncos out gained UNLV by a total of 558-476, went 6-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the win. Maddux Madsen went 14-23 for 253 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Dylan Riley rushed 15 times for 201 yards and one score. Chris Marshall led the receivers with three receptions for 96 yards and one touchdown in the victory. The Boise defense recorded three sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Boise State defeated New Mexico by a score of 41-25, but did lose to Notre Dame by a score of 28-7 before that. The Broncos have won two games in a row and they are currently first in the Mountain West standings. Boise State has scored 36.9 points per game with 273.0 passing yards and 205.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.1 points against per game this season. Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,823 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Dylan Riley has rushed for 695 yards and six scores this year. 

Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack are 1-6 (0-3) this season after they lost to New Mexico by a score of 24-22 last week. Nevada trailed 14-12 at the half and 24-22 in the fourth, before falling just short in the comeback attempt. The Wolf Pack were out gained by a total of 348-257, went 5-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Carter Jones went 23-29 for 202 yards, while Caleb Ramseur rushed 14 times for 39 yards and two scores. Marshaun Brown led the receivers with seven receptions for 75 yards in the loss. The Nevada defense recorded one sack and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Nevada lost to San Diego State by a score of 44-10 and Fresno State by a score of 20-17. The Wolf Pack have lost five games in a row and they are currently last in the Mountain West standings. Nevada has scored 15.6 points per game with 159.0 passing yards and 143.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.0 points against per game this season. Carter Jones has thrown for 517 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Caleb Ramseur has rushed 70 times for 310 yards and two scores this season. 

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

The home team has won six of Boise State’s last seven games.
The home team has covered the spread in three of Boise State’s last four games.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

Nevada has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog.
Boise State has won 16 of its last 17 games against conference opponents.
Nevada has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 14 games against conference opponents at Mackay Stadium.
Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite.
Boise State has won the first half in 12 of its last 15 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

Each of Boise State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Five of Nevada’s last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Nevada has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
Nevada ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.3).
Boise State ranks 7th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (11.3).
Boise State ranks 8th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (33:12).

Boise State vs Nevada Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup on opposite sides of the Mountain West standings and Boise State is a big favorite to win, but Nevada will be at home. The Wolf Pack have lost five games in a row and they lost 44-10 against SDSU in their last home game. Boise State is 3-0 in conference play and they have scored at least 41 points in four of their last five games. The Broncos have also allowed at least 25 points in four of their last five, so I think we could see some scoring here. Take the over in this one. 

David Racey is 80-61 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!