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Baylor vs Colorado Prediction College Football Picks 9/21/24
Pick details
Colorado (2-1) vs Baylor (2-1)
September 21, 2024 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado -2 / Baylor +2 — Over/Under: 57.5
The Baylor Bears and the Colorado Buffaloes meet in week 4 college football action from Folsom Field on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baylor vs. Colorado prediction.
Baylor Recap
The Baylor Bears come into this one looking to build on their 31-3 win over Air Force last time out to improve to 2-1 on the year. After this game, Baylor is going to head home for a matchup against BYU.
Bears Have QB Conundrum At The Top
Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 315 yards and a touchdown on 72.4% passing while Dequan Finn has thrown for 307 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 53.5% passing. Dawson Pendergrass has a team-high 144 rushing yards while Richard Reese has 140 rushing yards and Bryson Washington’s added 106 rushing yards as well. Josh Camerson has a team-high 136 receiving yards while Ashtyn Hawkins and Michael Trigg each have 100+ receiving yards as well with Trigg logging a team-high 10 receptions as well. On defense, Matt Jones has a team-high 28 total tackles including 15 solo tackles while Keaton Thomas has 25 total tackles with a team-high 16 solo tackles this season. As a unit, Baylor’s defense has combined for 4 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Colorado has lost 14 of its last 15 games against conference opponents.
- Baylor has won 14 of its last 15 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of Colorado’s last six games at Folsom Field.
- Colorado has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Colorado Recap
The Colorado Buffaloes come into this one looking to add on to their 28-9 win over Colorado State last time out to improve to 2-1 on the year. After this game, Colorado will head to the Bounce House to take on UCF.
Buffaloes Trying To Build Momentum
Shedeur Sanders has thrown for 999 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 70.2% passing while Micah Welch has a team-high 65 rushing yards. Travis Hunter leads Colorado’s receiving group with 30 grabs for 342 yards and 5 touchdowns while Jimmy Horn Jr. has 14 receptions for 246 yards and a touchdown as well on the year. LaJohntay Wester has 158 receiving yards and 3 TDs while Will Sheppard has 143 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, DJ McKinney has a team-high 21 total tackles including 14 solo tackles while Cam’Ron Silmon-Craig has a team-high 15 solo tackles and Dayon Hayes has a pair of sacks.
Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win
- Baylor has lost each of its last six games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has won each of Colorado’s last eight games.
- The home team has covered the spread in five of Baylor’s last six games.
- Baylor has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Baylor vs. Colorado Prediction
I’m leaning towards Baylor here. I just don’t like how one-dimensional Colorado’s offense can be with this Buffs team unable to run the football. Sure, the one dimension they have is solid with how Shedeur Sanders can move the ball through the air, but I think that Baylor’s defense shows up and gives Colorado a stiff test here. Give me the Bears.