Jul 13, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; Chicago Cubs pitcher Shota Imanaga (18) delivers a pitch against the New York Yankees during the second inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images
Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 8/17/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Chicago White Sox Chicago Cubs
Team Records 65-58 72-53
Spread +1.5 -149 -1.5 123
Moneyline +142 -172
Total Over 8.5 (-102) Under 8.5 (-119)
Where Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
When Monday, August 17, 2026
Time 08:05 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

The Chicago White Sox and the Chicago Cubs will meet on Monday night in the opening game of a three game interleague series at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois.

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox enter Monday’s contest with a 65–58 overall record (1st in the American League Central) and a 28–33 mark on the road. The White Sox offense has been rather pedestrian this season. Chicago has compiled 594 runs scored (8th in MLB), 198 doubles, a .240 team batting average and 164 home runs which ranks fifth in Major League Baseball.

The White Sox arrive at today’s game in above average form. Chicago has won three of the team’s last four games played this season, including a 9–5 win over the Detroit tigers three days ago.

Chicago will turn to right hander Luis Castillo in this game. In 19 starts made in 2026, Castillo has compiled a 4-9 win-loss record, a 4.96 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP and 101 strikeouts in 110.2 innings pitched. Castillo pitched exceptionally well in his most recent outing, scattering one hit and two walks across seven innings pitched, in the Chicago White Sox win over Cincinnati Reds five days ago.

Shifting our focus to the Chicago offense, the White Sox lineup features second baseman Miguel Vargas who has amassed 28 home runs (9th in MLB), 68 doubles, 36 walks, 72 RBIs and an .835 OPS.                                   

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs enter Monday’s matchup with a 72–53 overall record (2nd in the National League standings) and a 34–26 mark at home. Chicago has played below average baseball recently, losing three of the team’s last four games, including a 7–0 victory over the Washington Nationals last week.

The Cubs will start left hander Shota Imanaga in this evening’s game. In recent outings, Imanaga has compiled strong swing and miss metrics and continues to perform as one of the most reliable hurlers in the starting pitching rotation for the Cubs. Imanaga arrives at this contest in good form, allowing two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts made this season.

The Cubs lineup features outfielders Pete Crow-Armstrong and Ian Happ. Pete Crow-Armstrong has tallied a .276 batting average, 28 home runs (9th in MLB), 65 walks, 75 RBIs and a .906 OPS which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Ian Happ has amassed 20 home runs, 51 RBIs, 64 walks and 22 doubles.                                              

Why the Chicago White Sox will win.

• Offensive firepower. Miguel Vargas has been a key contributor for the Chicago White Sox lineup.

• Starting pitching. In 19 starts made in 2026, Luis Castillo has compiled a 4-9 win-loss record, a 4.96 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP and 101 strikeouts in 110.2 innings pitched.

• Current form. The Chicago White Sox have won three of the team’s last four games.  

Why the Chicago Cubs will win.

• Home field edge. The Chicago Cubs have played outstanding baseball (34–26) at Wrigley Field this season.

• Offensive balance. Pete Crow-Armstrong and Ian Happ provide a strong core to the Chicago Cubs lineup.

• Enhanced motivation. The Chicago Cubs arrive at this contest in poor overall form, losing three of the team’s last four games played this season.   

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction

In my opinion, this matchup favors the Chicago Cubs. Why? Cubs starting pitcher Shota Imanaga arrives at this contest in good form, allowing two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts made this season. It is also noteworthy that the Cubs have played exceptional baseball at home amassing a robust 34-26 win-loss record at Wrigley Field. Let us not forget that the Chicago Cubs have compiled a formidable lineup in 2026 that is capable of scoring a high number of runs at any given time. With that said, I am backing the Chicago Cubs on the moneyline in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Chicago Cubs ML

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