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Ball State vs Toledo Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Spread | +27.5 -112 | -27.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +1800 | -5000 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-112) | Under 47.5 (-108) |
| Where | Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH | |
| When | Saturday, November 22, 2025 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview
The Ball State Cardinals beat Kent State, lost to Eastern Michigan, and they play Miami Ohio next. Ball State has split its last 8 games. Kiael Kelly is completing 57.5 percent of his passes for 1,217 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Qian Magwood and Eric Weatherly have combined for 419 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Koby Gross has 10 receptions.
The Ball State Cardinals ground game is averaging 137.2 yards per contest, and Kiael Kelly leads the way with 537 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Ball State is allowing 27.5 points and 400.6 yards per game. Alfred Chea leads the Ball State Cardinals with 53 tackles, Nathan Voorhis has 11 sacks and Joedrick Lewis has 3 interceptions.
Toledo Rockets Betting Preview
The Toledo Rockets beat Northern Illinois and Miami Ohio, and they play Central Michigan next. The Toledo Rockets have won 3 of their last 4 games. Tucker Gleason is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 2,199 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Junior Vandeross III and Trayvon Rudolph have combined for 1,130 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Jacob Petersen has 20 receptions.
The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 175 yards per contest, and Chip Trayanum leads the way with 728 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 13.4 points and 232.6 yards per game. K’Von Sherman leads the Toledo Rockets with 71 tackles, Malachi Davis has 5 sacks and Braden Awls has 5 interceptions.
Why the Toledo Rockets will win
- Ball State has lost each of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Toledo has won 15 of its last 17 games at Glass Bowl.
- Toledo has covered the spread in each of its last five games at Glass Bowl.
- Ball State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
Why the Ball State Cardinals will win
- The road team has won three of the last four games between Ball State and Toledo.
- Ball State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Ball State’s last five games as an underdog against Toledo have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last four games between Ball State and Toledo have gone UNDER the total points line.
Toledo Rockets Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Junior Vandeross III ranks 9th amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (9) this season.
Ball State Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Joedrick Lewis is one of only nine players to record at least one interception in three consecutive appearances this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Toledo ranks T2nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.8).
- Toledo ranks 2nd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (232.6).
- Ball State ranks 134th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (144).
- Ball State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (6.9).
Ball State vs Toledo Prediction
Toledo is easily the better team, an above average team on both sides of the ball, and probably should win this game comfortably. Ball State is terrible offensively and doesn’t play much defense either. However, Ball State is still in bowl contention and needs this game to stay alive, so I don’t expect this group to lay down. Toledo has outright lost 2 of its last 5 games as a double-digit favorite, and Ball State is 3-1 ATS this season as a double-digit underdog. I’m grabbing the boatload of points with Ball State.
