Auburn vs Vanderbilt Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Auburn Tigers and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet in week 11 college football action from FirstBank Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Auburn Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores prediction.

Auburn Tigers Recap

The Auburn Tigers come into this game looking to rebound from a 10-3 loss at the hands of Vanderbilt last time out to sit at 4-5 this season. After this game, Auburn will head home for a game against Mercer after their bye week.

Tigers Drop 5 Of Last 6

Jackson Arnold has thrown for 1,278 yards, 6 touchdowns and 2 INTs on 63.3% passing while also rushing for 258 yards and 7 touchdowns this season. Jeremiah Cobb leads Auburn in rushing with 789 yards and 4 touchdowns while Damari Alston also added 128 rushing yards and a touchdown this season. Cam Coleman leads Auburn with 474 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns while Eric Singleton Jr. has a team-high 40 receptions for 379 yards and 2 touchdowns and three more Auburn receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Xavier Atkins has a team-high 69 total tackles with 7 sacks while Keyron Crawford has 5 sacks. As a unit, Auburn’s defense has combined for 25 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.

Vanderbilt Commodores Recap

The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this game looking to bounce back from a 34-31 loss at the hands of Texas last time out to sit at 7-2 this season. After this game, Vanderbilt will have a bye week before a game against Kentucky.

Commodores Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Diego Pavia has thrown for 2,063 yards, 18 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 69.2% passing while also leading Vanderbilt in rushing with 501 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. Sedrick Alexander has 399 rushing yards and a team-high 6 touchdowns while Makhilyn Young has 389 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Eli Stowers leads Vanderbilt’s receiving group with 38 grabs for 543 yards and 4 touchdowns while Junior Sherrill has 31 catches for 395 yards and a team-high 5 touchdowns. Tre Richardson has 26 catches for 325 yards and Richie Hoskins has 243 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, CJ Heard has a team-high 47 total tackles while Miles Capers has a team-high 4.5 sacks as well this season. As a unit, Vanderbilt has combined for 21 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season. 

Auburn Tigers @ Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win

• Auburn has lost each of its last 10 road games against AP-ranked teams.
• Vanderbilt has won each of its last 11 games as a home favorite.
• Auburn has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November road games against AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in six of Vanderbilt’s last seven games at FirstBank Stadium.
• Auburn has lost the first half in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

• Vanderbilt has lost eight of its last nine games in November.
• The road team has won each of Auburn’s last four games.
• The road team has covered the spread in eight of Auburn’s last nine games.
• Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games in November.
• Auburn has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Vanderbilt has lost the first half in 19 of its last 24 home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Vanderbilt’s last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of Auburn’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Diego Pavia is one of only three players in the FBS to record 2,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards this season.

Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Xavier Atkins is the only player in the FBS to record 7+ sacks and an interception this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Vanderbilt ranks 8th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (52.7).
• Vanderbilt ranks T9th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (18.8).
• Auburn ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.1).
• Auburn ranks 9th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (83.6).

Auburn Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction

I’m on Vanderbilt here. If you needed any proof that Vanderbilt’s offense is absolutely cooked, look at a performance of putting up just 3 points against Kentucky last time out and now you have to take on a Vanderbilt team that can’t afford another loss if they’re going to make the college football playoff. Auburn’s just a lost cause and I think that Vanderbilt gets it done at home with the win and cover in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Vanderbilt -6.5