Army vs Air Force Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Army Black Knights and the Air Force Falcons meet in week 10 college football action from Falcon Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Army Black Knights vs. Air Force Falcons prediction.

Army Black Knights Recap

The Army Black Knights come into this game looking to shake off a 24-17 loss at the hands of Tulane in their last game to sit at 3-4 this season. After this game, Army will head home for a game against the Temple Owls.

Black Knights Snap Two-Game Win Streak

Cale Hellums has thrown for 274 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception on 51.4% passing while also leading Army’s option offense with 613 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. Noah Short and Hayden Reed each have 300+ rushing yards as well this season for the Army ground attack. Brady Anderson also leads Army’s receiving group with 264 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. On defense, Andon Thomas has a team-high 59 total tackles while the Army defense as a unit has combined for 7 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Air Force Falcons Recap

The Air Force Falcons come into this game looking to build on their 24-21 win over Wyoming in their last game to improve to 2-5 this season. After this matchup, Air Force will go back on the road for a game against San Jose State.

Falcons Snap Five-Game Losing Skid

Liam Szarka has thrown for 1,058 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 61.1% passing while also leading Air Force in rushing with 725 yards and 9 touchdowns this season. Owen Allen has 372 rushing yards with 3 TDs while two more Falcons have 200+ rushing yards as well on the year. Cade Harris leads Air Force in receiving with 492 receiving yards and 2 TDs while Quin Smith and Bruin Fleischmann each have 200+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Blake Fletcher has a team-high 69 total tackles while Isaac Hubert has a team-high 3 sacks and the Air Force defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Army Black Knights @ Air Force Falcons Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• Air Force has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
• Air Force has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• Air Force has won the first quarter in 10 of its last 11 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.
• Air Force has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against non-conference opponents at Falcon Stadium.

Why the Army Black Knights will win

• Army has won each of its last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Air Force has lost five of its last six games.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of Air Force’s last five games.
• Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three home games.
• Army has won the first half in four of its last five games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last 11 games between Army and Air Force have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Army’s last five games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference have gone UNDER the total points line.

Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Liam Szarka has recorded 100+ rushing yards in five consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 10.

Army Black Knights Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Cale Hellums ranks T7th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Air Force has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
• Air Force has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
• Army ranks 136th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (85.6).
• Army ranks 1st among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (36:40).

Army Black Knights vs. Air Force Falcons Prediction

I’m on the over here. I know conventional wisdom in the past says you see service academies against each other, you take the under. However, I think we’re in a new era of offense with these option attacks as almost all of them have a passing aspect to their game now and aren’t just handing the ball off every single play. We just saw Air Force and Navy duke it out for 65 points and I think something similar could be in store here. Give me the over here.