Sep 27, 2025; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Tennessee Volunteers quarterback Joey Aguilar (6) looks to pass the ball against the Mississippi State Bulldogs during the second half at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Wesley Hale-Imagn Images
Wesley Hale-Imagn Images

Arkansas vs Tennessee Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Arkansas Razorbacks Tennessee Volunteers
Team Records 2-4 5-1
Where Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
When Saturday, October 11, 2025
Time 04:15 PM EDT
TV SEC Network

The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Tennessee Volunteers meet in week 7 college football action from Neyland Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Tennessee Volunteers prediction.

Arkansas Razorbacks Recap

The Arkansas Razorbacks come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss to Notre Dame prior to last week’s bye week by a final score of 56-13, sitting at 2-3 on the year as a result. After this game, Arkansas will head home for a big game against Texas A&M. 

Razorbacks Lose Three In A Row

Taylen Green has thrown for 1,398 yards, 12 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 62% passing while also rushing for a team-high 441 yards and 2 touchdowns. Mike Washington Jr. has 393 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns while Braylen Russell has 165 rushing yards and 3 TDs. O’Mega Blake has a team-high 30 receptions for 399 yards and 3 TDs while Rohan Jones has 220 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Four more Razorbacks have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Xavian Sorey Jr. has a team-high 34 total tackles along with an interception while Stephen Dix Jr. has 33 total tackles. Quincy Rhodes Jr. has a team-high 5 sacks and Julian Neal has 2 interceptions. As a unit, Arkansas’ defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Tennessee Volunteers Recap

The Tennessee Volunteers come into this game looking to add on to their 41-34 win over Mississippi State last time out to sit at 4-1 this season. After this game, Tennessee will head on the road for a game against the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Volunteers Looking For Another Big Win At Home

Joey Aguilar has thrown for 1,459 yards, 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 65% passing while DeSean Bishop has rushed for a team-high 335 yards and 4 TDs and Star Thomas has 305 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Peyton Lewis also has 167 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns as well this season. Chris Brazzell leads Tennessee in receiving with 31 catches for 531 yards and 7 touchdowns while Mike Matthews has 22 grabs for 370 yards and 2 TDs and Braylon Staley has 25 catches for 322 yards and 2 TDs as well. On defense, Arion Carter has a team-high 49 total tackles while Joshua Josephs, Caleb Herring and Tyre West each have a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, Tennessee’s defense has combined for 20 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Arkansas Razorbacks @ Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

  • Tennessee has won each of its last 22 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Neyland Stadium.
  • Arkansas has lost each of its last seven October road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six home games in October.
  • Tennessee has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • Arkansas has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

  • The underdog has won each of the last three games between Arkansas and Tennessee.
  • Arkansas has covered the spread in each of its last five road games in October.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Tennessee’s last nine games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Arkansas’ last four games have gone OVER the total points line.

Tennessee Volunteers Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Chris Brazzell II ranks T1st amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (7) this season.

Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, O’Mega Blake leads the Southeastern Conference for targets (45) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for points per game this season (51.0).
  • Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (18.6).
  • Arkansas ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (16.0).
  • Arkansas ranks T3rd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (27.0).

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction

I’m on the Volunteers here. Arkansas making a coaching change could be a good thing for this team and the Hogs have been solid offensively. However, the defense is one of the worst in the Power conferences and at the FBS level as a whole and I think Tennessee has everything here to get the job done in blowout fashion. I’ll roll with the Vols in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tennessee -12.5

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