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Arkansas vs LSU Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Razorbacks Arkansas | Tigers LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-7 | 5-4 |
| Spread | +5.5 -112 | -5.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +180 | -218 |
| Total | Over 56.5 (-108) | Under 56.5 (-112) |
| Where | Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA | |
| When | Saturday, November 15, 2025 | |
| Time | 12:45 PM EST | |
| TV | SEC Network | |
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks lost to Mississippi State and Auburn, and they play Texas next. The Arkansas Razorbacks have lost 7 straight games. Taylen Green is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 2,372 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. O’Mega Blake and Raylen Sharpe have combined for 1,088 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Rohan Jones has 13 receptions.
The Arkansas Razorbacks ground game is averaging 208.8 yards per contest, and Mike Washington Jr. leads the way with 828 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas is allowing 33.3 points and 430.6 yards per game. Xavian Sorey Jr. leads the Arkansas Razorbacks with 64 tackles, Quincy Rhodes Jr. has 8 sacks and Julian Neal has 2 interceptions.
LSU Tigers Betting Preview
The LSU Tigers lost to Texas A&M and Alabama, and they play WKU next. LSU has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Garrett Nussmeier is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 1,927 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Barion Brown and Aaron Anderson have combined for 803 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Zavion Thomas has 25 receptions.
The LSU Tigers ground game is averaging 101 yards per contest, and Caden Durham leads the way with 382 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, LSU is allowing 19 points and 327.9 yards per game. AJ Haulcy leads the LSU Tigers with 65 tackles, Harold Perkins Jr. has 3 sacks and Dashawn Spears has 2 interceptions.
Why the LSU Tigers will win
- LSU has won 25 of its last 26 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Tiger Stadium.
- Arkansas has lost each of its last seven games.
- Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of LSU’s last seven games.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- Arkansas has won each of its last three games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- LSU has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of Arkansas’ last six games.
- LSU has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Arkansas’ last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of LSU’s last 10 games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
LSU Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 12, Damian Ramos ranks T9th amongst FBS players for made field goals (17) this season.
Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 12, Quincy Rhodes Jr. ranks T10th amongst FBS players for sacks (8.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- LSU ranks T13th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.8).
- LSU ranks 14th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (73.9).
- Four of Arkansas’ nine games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- Arkansas ranks 5th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (51.9).
Arkansas vs LSU Prediction
LSU is the more talented team and should be favored at home. LSU’s defense should lead the way to victory, and a win here makes the Tigers bowl eligible. However, this is a lot of points for an LSU team that’s underachieved up to this point and has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Also, despite 7 straight losses, 5 of those games were decided by 6 or fewer points. Arkansas doesn’t play a lick of defense, but it’s led by a superstar quarterback and an offense that can get spooky. Give me the points.
