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Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction 10/14/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
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Arkansas State (2-4) vs South Alabama (1-5)
October 14, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: South Alabama -6.5 — Over/Under: +58.5
The Arkansas State Red Wolves and South Alabama Jaguars meet Tuesday in college football action at Hancock Whitney Stadium. Here’s a Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction. This article will include a Arkansas State vs South Alabama Pick.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves beat Texas State, lost to UL Monroe, and they play Georgia Southern next. Arkansas State has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 67 percent of his passes for 1,451 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Chauncy Cobb and Corey Rucker have combined for 740 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Hunter Summers has 20 receptions.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 119 yards per contest, and Devin Spencer leads the way with 200 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 31.7 points and 474.3 yards per game. AG McGhee leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 35 tackles, Cody Sigler has 1.5 sacks and Avante Dickerson has 2 interceptions.
The South Alabama Jaguars lost to Troy and North Texas, and they play Georgia State next. South Alabama has lost 5 straight games. Bishop Davenport is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 1,063 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Devin Voisin and Anthony Eager have combined for 654 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Brendan Jenkins has 6 receptions.
The South Alabama Jaguars ground game is averaging 202.5 yards per contest, and Kentrel Bullock leads the way with 496 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 31.7 points and 368.7 yards per game. Christopher Wallace Jr. leads the South Alabama Jaguars with 43 tackles, Tyler Thomas has 2 sacks and Wesley Miller has 1 interception.
South Alabama may be the more talented team, is more battle tested and is at home, so it should be favored. However, neither Arkansas State nor South Alabama plays a lick of defense, and I’m not excited to lay points with teams that don’t defend. Arkansas State is 134th in total defense and 119th in scoring defense, while South Alabama is 69th in total defense but 120th in scoring defense. South Alabama is allowing an average of 33.8 points during its five-game losing streak. Again, South Alabama hasn’t had the easiest schedule in the world, but still, Arkansas State with a top-60 passing attack should be able to have some success. Give me the points.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves beat Texas State, lost to UL Monroe, and they play Georgia Southern next. Arkansas State has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 67 percent of his passes for 1,451 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Chauncy Cobb and Corey Rucker have combined for 740 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Hunter Summers has 20 receptions.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 119 yards per contest, and Devin Spencer leads the way with 200 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 31.7 points and 474.3 yards per game. AG McGhee leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 35 tackles, Cody Sigler has 1.5 sacks and Avante Dickerson has 2 interceptions.
South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview
The South Alabama Jaguars lost to Troy and North Texas, and they play Georgia State next. South Alabama has lost 5 straight games. Bishop Davenport is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 1,063 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Devin Voisin and Anthony Eager have combined for 654 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Brendan Jenkins has 6 receptions.
The South Alabama Jaguars ground game is averaging 202.5 yards per contest, and Kentrel Bullock leads the way with 496 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 31.7 points and 368.7 yards per game. Christopher Wallace Jr. leads the South Alabama Jaguars with 43 tackles, Tyler Thomas has 2 sacks and Wesley Miller has 1 interception.
Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win
- South Alabama has won each of its last four home games after coming off overtime.
- Arkansas State has lost 10 of its last 12 October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three road games.
- South Alabama has covered the spread in 10 of its last 13 home games in October.
Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win
- Arkansas State has won three of its last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- South Alabama has lost each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in four of South Alabama’s last five games at Hancock Whitney Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of South Alabama’s last six games at Hancock Whitney Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Arkansas State’s last seven October games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
South Alabama Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Kentrel Bullock leads South Alabama for touchdowns (6) this season.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Jaylen Raynor leads Arkansas State for touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- South Alabama ranks 128th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (201.8).
- South Alabama ranks T119th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (31.7).
- Arkansas State ranks 134th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (474.3).
- Arkansas State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-6.8).
Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction
South Alabama may be the more talented team, is more battle tested and is at home, so it should be favored. However, neither Arkansas State nor South Alabama plays a lick of defense, and I’m not excited to lay points with teams that don’t defend. Arkansas State is 134th in total defense and 119th in scoring defense, while South Alabama is 69th in total defense but 120th in scoring defense. South Alabama is allowing an average of 33.8 points during its five-game losing streak. Again, South Alabama hasn’t had the easiest schedule in the world, but still, Arkansas State with a top-60 passing attack should be able to have some success. Give me the points.
