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Arizona vs UCF Prediction College Football Picks 11/2/24
Pick details
UCF (3-5) vs Arizona (3-5)
November 2, 2024 at 03:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: UCF -6 / Arizona +6 — Over/Under: 57.5
The Arizona Wildcats and the UCF Knights meet in week 10 college football action from FBC Mortgage Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona vs. UCF prediction.
Arizona Recap
The Arizona Wildcats come into this one looking to rebound after a 31-26 loss at the hands of West Virginia last time out. After this game, Arizona will head home for a date with Houston.
Wildcats Looking For Answers Amidst Four-Game Skid
Noah Fifita has thrown for 2,068 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions on 59.9% passing while Quali Conley has a team-high 572 rushing yards with 7 TDs. Tetairoa McMillan leads Arizona’s receiving group with 57 receptions for 982 yards and 5 touchdowns and Keyan Burnett chipped in 217 receiving yards and three more Wildcats have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Dalton Johnson has a team-high 57 total tackles. As a unit, Arizona’s defense has combined for 13 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Arizona Wildcats will win
- The underdog has won four of Arizona’s last five games.
- UCF has lost each of its last three games as a favorite.
- UCF has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in five of UCF’s last six games.
UCF Recap
The UCF Knights come into this one looking to bounce back themselves after a 37-24 loss at the hands of BYU last time out. After this game, UCF will head on the road for a matchup against Arizona State.
Knights Drop 5th Straight
KJ Jefferson has thrown for 1,012 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 59.3% passing while Jacurri Brown has thrown for 387 yards, a touchdown, and 4 interceptions on 51.5% passing and Dylan Rizk has 102 passing yards and a touchdown with 63.6% completion percentage. RJ Harvey has rushed for 1,017 yards and 13 touchdowns as well on the year. Peny Boone’s added 208 rushing yards with 2 TDs while Kobe Hudson has a team-high 509 receiving yards and 27 receptions with 3 TDs. Harvey and Randy Pittman Jr. each have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Quadric Bullard has 41 total tackles while UCF’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- Arizona has lost each of its last nine November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCF has won 10 of its last 11 November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arizona has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
Arizona vs. UCF Prediction
I’m leaning towards Arizona here. I just can’t trust either team to really pull away in this game and I think that the ineptitude on both sides could end up leading this game to being somewhat close, maybe a 3-4 point game. It’s not one I’m rushing to bet necessarily, but I’ll side with Arizona and the points here.