Arizona vs UCF Prediction College Football Picks 11/2/24

Pick details

UCF (3-5) vs Arizona (3-5)

November 2, 2024 at 03:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: UCF -6 / Arizona +6 — Over/Under: 57.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Wildcats and the UCF Knights meet in week 10 college football action from FBC Mortgage Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona vs. UCF prediction.

Arizona Recap

The Arizona Wildcats come into this one looking to rebound after a 31-26 loss at the hands of West Virginia last time out. After this game, Arizona will head home for a date with Houston.

Wildcats Looking For Answers Amidst Four-Game Skid

Noah Fifita has thrown for 2,068 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions on 59.9% passing while Quali Conley has a team-high 572 rushing yards with 7 TDs. Tetairoa McMillan leads Arizona’s receiving group with 57 receptions for 982 yards and 5 touchdowns and Keyan Burnett chipped in 217 receiving yards and three more Wildcats have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Dalton Johnson has a team-high 57 total tackles. As a unit, Arizona’s defense has combined for 13 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Arizona Wildcats will win

  • The underdog has won four of Arizona’s last five games.
  • UCF has lost each of its last three games as a favorite.
  • UCF has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
  • The road team has covered the spread in five of UCF’s last six games.

UCF Recap

The UCF Knights come into this one looking to bounce back themselves after a 37-24 loss at the hands of BYU last time out. After this game, UCF will head on the road for a matchup against Arizona State.

Knights Drop 5th Straight

KJ Jefferson has thrown for 1,012 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 59.3% passing while Jacurri Brown has thrown for 387 yards, a touchdown, and 4 interceptions on 51.5% passing and Dylan Rizk has 102 passing yards and a touchdown with 63.6% completion percentage. RJ Harvey has rushed for 1,017 yards and 13 touchdowns as well on the year. Peny Boone’s added 208 rushing yards with 2 TDs while Kobe Hudson has a team-high 509 receiving yards and 27 receptions with 3 TDs. Harvey and Randy Pittman Jr. each have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Quadric Bullard has 41 total tackles while UCF’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.

Why the UCF Knights will win

  • Arizona has lost each of its last nine November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UCF has won 10 of its last 11 November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.

Arizona vs. UCF Prediction

I’m leaning towards Arizona here. I just can’t trust either team to really pull away in this game and I think that the ineptitude on both sides could end up leading this game to being somewhat close, maybe a 3-4 point game. It’s not one I’m rushing to bet necessarily, but I’ll side with Arizona and the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Arizona +6

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