Arizona State vs Duke Prediction 12/31/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Duke Blue Devils meet in the Sun Bowl in college football action from the Sun Bowl on Wednesday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Duke Blue Devils prediction.

Arizona State Sun Devils Recap

The Arizona State Sun Devils come into the bowl game on behalf of the Big 12, sitting at 8-4 this season.

Sun Devils Looking For Second Bowl Win In Last Decade

Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,628 yards, 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 60.7% passing while also rushing for 306 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Jeff Sims has thrown for 886 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 52% passing. Raleek Brown has a team-high 1,141 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns as well this season. Jordyn Tyson leads the Sun Devils in receiving with 61 grabs for 711 yards and 8 touchdowns while Chamon Metayer, Derek Eusebio and Malik McClain each have 300+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Keyshawn Elliott has a team-high 98 total tackles including 54 solo tackles and a team-high 7 sacks. Justin Wodtly also has added 6 sacks. As a unit, Arizona State’s defense has combined for 32 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.

Duke Blue Devils Recap

The Duke Blue Devils come into this game as your 2025 ACC champions after finishing 8-4 and knocking off Virginia in the ACC title game.

Blue Devils Looking For 6th Win In Last 7 Bowl Games

Darian Mensah has thrown for 3,450 yards, 28 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 67.5% passing while Nate Sheppard has a team-high 865 rushing yards with 9 TDs and Anderson Castle has 435 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns. Cooper Barkate leads Duke’s receiving group with 63 catches for 978 yards and 6 touchdowns while Que’Sean Brown has 665 receiving yards with 3 TDs. Sahmir Hagans has 432 receiving yards with 6 scores and Jeremiah Hasley has 385 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Caleb Weaver has a team-high 78 total tackles while Vincent Anthony Jr. has 6.5 sacks and Josiah Green has 3.5 sacks. As a unit, Duke’s defense has combined for 25 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.

Arizona State Sun Devils @ Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends: Bowl

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

• Duke has won each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams at neutral venues.
• Arizona State has lost six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Duke has covered the spread in seven of its last eight Bowl games.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

• Arizona State has won three of its last four games as an underdog in Texas.
• Duke has lost four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
• Duke has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
• Arizona State has covered the spread in each of its last four games at neutral venues.
• Duke has lost the first half in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Duke’s last six games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Arizona State’s last six games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Duke Blue Devils Player Prop Facts

• Heading into the bowl games, Darian Mensah is one of only two players in the league to record two or more passing touchdowns in nine consecutive appearances this season.

Arizona State Sun Devils Player Prop Facts

• Sam Leavitt has thrown zero interceptions in five consecutive games (including postseason) – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into the bowl games.

Matchup/League Facts

• Duke ranks T2nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (73.7).
• Duke ranks 130th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (269.2).
• Arizona State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Arizona State ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.7).

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Duke Blue Devils Prediction

I’m on Duke in this one. Arizona State just has so many opt-outs in this game, including key pieces to the offense like Raleek Brown, Jaylon Tyson and Sam Leavitt’s injured. If you know, you know with Jeff Sims, and if you don’t, it’s not good. Duke has more stability at QB and I think the Blue Devils get it done here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Duke -3.5