Appalachian State vs James Madison Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Appalachian State vs James Madison Prediction for this College Football Week 12 game on Saturday, November 15th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

James Madison Dukes Preview

James Madison has a 8-1 record this season and is sitting 1st in the Sun Belt. They are 6-3 ATS, 4-5 in Over/Under and have a 4-0 home record and a 4-1 away record. James Madison is coming off a 35-23 road win against Marshall and will face Washington State and Coastal Carolina next.

Offensively, James Madison averages 34.8 points per game, ranking 23rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 16.9 points per game, which is 12th. James Madison averages 438.4 total yards per game (206.0 passing and 232.4 rushing), while allowing 269.4 total yards per game (98.9 rushing and 170.6 passing).

Alonza Barnett III leads James Madison with 1,786 passing yards with 61.4% completed passes and 16 touchdowns. Wayne Knight leads the team in rushing yards with 746, while Landon Ellis has a team-high 30 receptions for 486 receiving yards. Defensively, Trent Hendrick has a team-high 70 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Aiden Gobaira leads the team in sacks, with 4, and Justin Eaglin has a team-high 3 interceptions.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Preview

Appalachian State has a 4-5 record this season and is sitting 6th in the Sun Belt. They are 4-5 ATS, 4-5 in Over/Under and have a 2-2 home record and a 1-3 away record. Appalachian State is coming off a 23-25 home loss against Georgia Southern and will face Marshall and Arkansas State next.

Offensively, Appalachian State averages 26.6 points per game, ranking 76th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.3 points per game, which is 90th. Appalachian State averages 414.6 total yards per game (288.2 passing and 126.3 rushing), while allowing 385.8 total yards per game (114.0 rushing and 271.8 passing).

AJ Swann leads Appalachian State with 1,431 passing yards with 62.9% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Rashod Dubinion leads the team in rushing yards with 796, while Jaden Barnes has a team-high 54 receptions for 605 receiving yards. Defensively, Colton Phares has a team-high 66 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Thomas Davis leads the team in sacks, with 3, and Colton Phares, Zyeir Gamble, DJ Burks, Elijah Mc-Cantos have a team-high 2 interceptions each.

Appalachian State Mountaineers @ James Madison Dukes Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the James Madison Dukes will win

• The favorite has won each of James Madison’s last 10 games.
• Appalachian State has lost seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
• Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a road underdog.
• James Madison has covered the spread in four of its last five games in Virginia.
• Appalachian State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.

Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win

• Appalachian State has won four of its last five November games as an underdog.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of Appalachian State’s last four games.
• James Madison has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games in November.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Appalachian State’s last six games against teams from Virginia have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of James Madison’s last five games against teams from North Carolina have gone UNDER the total points line.

James Madison Dukes Player Prop Facts

• Alonza Barnett III has recorded a 110.0+ passer rating in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Davion Dozier ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• James Madison ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (1.9).
• James Madison has averaged 50.0 points over its last three games – most in the FBS over that span.
• Appalachian State ranks 129th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (271.8).
• Appalachian State ranks 13th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (73.5).

Appalachian State vs James Madison Prediction

In this Appalachian State vs James Madison Prediction, James Madison is coming as -21 point home favorites, with the total set at 53.5 points. James Madison has been excellent this season with just one loss in 9 games played and have been undefeated at home, winning by an average of 17.9 points per game this season. On the flip side, App State is 1-3 in its last 4 games and 1-3 on the road and have both a weaker offense and defense. The value here lies with the home team so take James Madison and lay the -21 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: James Madison -21