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Appalachian State vs Boise State Prediction 9/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
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Appalachian State (9-5) vs Boise State (2-1)
September 27, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Boise State -17 — Over/Under: +60.5
The Appalachian State Mountaineers and Boise State Broncos meet Saturday in college football action at Albertsons Stadium. Here’s a Appalachian State vs Boise State Prediction. This article will include a Appalachian State vs Boise State Pick.
The Appalachian State Mountaineers lost to Southern Miss, beat Lindenwood, and they play Oregon State next. Appalachian State has split its last 14 games. AJ Swann is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 879 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jaden Barnes and Dalton Stroman have combined for 632 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Izayah Cummings has 16 receptions.
The Appalachian State Mountaineers ground game is averaging 162 yards per contest, and Rashod Dubinion leads the way with 400 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing 20.7 points and 274.3 yards per game. Colton Phares leads the Appalachian State Mountaineers with 21 tackles, Thomas Davis has 2 sacks and DJ Burks has 2 interceptions.
The Boise State Broncos beat Eastern Washington and Air Force, and they play Notre Dame next. The Boise State Broncos have won 13 of their last 14 regular season games. Maddux Madsen is completing 56.8 percent of his passes for 808 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Latrell Caples and Chris Marshall have combined for 320 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Ben Ford has 8 receptions.
The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 244 yards per contest, and Dylan Riley leads the way with 314 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 28.3 points and 394 yards per game. Ty Benefield leads the Boise State Broncos with 26 tackles, Braxton Fely has 1.5 sacks and A’Marion McCoy has 2 pass deflections.
While there’s a talent gap between these teams, this line is surprising. Appalachian State has a top-20 total offense and is third in passing offense, so it’s only a matter of time before the offense starts finishing drives. Boise State has issues defensively through 3 games and is 102nd in scoring defense, so this could be the game where App State has an offensive breakthrough. I also find value in points with the team that has the rest advantage, and App State has had an extra week to prepare. Appalachian State has covered 7 of its last 10 games as a double-digit underdog, and 3 of those covers were outright wins. This is also a look ahead for Boise State, with Notre Dame on deck. Give me the points with App State.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Preview
The Appalachian State Mountaineers lost to Southern Miss, beat Lindenwood, and they play Oregon State next. Appalachian State has split its last 14 games. AJ Swann is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 879 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jaden Barnes and Dalton Stroman have combined for 632 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Izayah Cummings has 16 receptions.
The Appalachian State Mountaineers ground game is averaging 162 yards per contest, and Rashod Dubinion leads the way with 400 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing 20.7 points and 274.3 yards per game. Colton Phares leads the Appalachian State Mountaineers with 21 tackles, Thomas Davis has 2 sacks and DJ Burks has 2 interceptions.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos beat Eastern Washington and Air Force, and they play Notre Dame next. The Boise State Broncos have won 13 of their last 14 regular season games. Maddux Madsen is completing 56.8 percent of his passes for 808 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Latrell Caples and Chris Marshall have combined for 320 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Ben Ford has 8 receptions.
The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 244 yards per contest, and Dylan Riley leads the way with 314 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 28.3 points and 394 yards per game. Ty Benefield leads the Boise State Broncos with 26 tackles, Braxton Fely has 1.5 sacks and A’Marion McCoy has 2 pass deflections.
Appalachian State Mountaineers @ Boise State Broncos Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Albertsons Stadium.
- Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 13 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Boise State has covered the spread in five of its last six September games at Albertsons Stadium.
Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win
- Appalachian State has won each of its last three games against non-conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in six of Appalachian State’s last eight games.
Total Points Facts
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- Each of Boise State’s last seven September games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Appalachian State’s last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Dylan Riley leads the Mountain West Conference for yards per carry (9.8) this season.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, DJ Burks leads the Sun Belt Conference for interceptions (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Boise State ranks T128th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (66.7).
- Boise State ranks 10th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (13.7).
- Appalachian State ranks 14th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (510.3).
- Appalachian State ranks T14th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (45).
Appalachian State vs Boise State Prediction
While there’s a talent gap between these teams, this line is surprising. Appalachian State has a top-20 total offense and is third in passing offense, so it’s only a matter of time before the offense starts finishing drives. Boise State has issues defensively through 3 games and is 102nd in scoring defense, so this could be the game where App State has an offensive breakthrough. I also find value in points with the team that has the rest advantage, and App State has had an extra week to prepare. Appalachian State has covered 7 of its last 10 games as a double-digit underdog, and 3 of those covers were outright wins. This is also a look ahead for Boise State, with Notre Dame on deck. Give me the points with App State.
