Air Force vs Navy Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Air Force Falcons and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in college football action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Air Force vs Navy Prediction. This article will include a Air Force vs Navy Pick.

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

The Air Force Falcons lost to Boise State and Hawaii, and they will play UNLV next. The Air Force Falcons have split their last 10 games. Liam Szarka is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 638 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Cade Harris and Quin Smith have combined for 699 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Tre Roberson has 5 receptions.

The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 254.5 yards per contest, and Liam Szarka leads the way with 296 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 38.8 points and 466.5 yards per game. Blake Fletcher leads the Air Force Falcons with 42 tackles, Isaac Hubert has 3 sacks and Max Mustell has 1 interception.

Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview

The Navy Midshipmen beat Rice and Tulsa, and they play Temple next. The Navy Midshipmen have won 7 straight games. Blake Horvath is completing 68.4 percent of his passes for 500 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Eli Heidenreich and Luke Hutchison have combined for 274 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Cody Howard has 1 reception.

The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 352.3 yards per contest, and Alex Tecza leads the way with 376 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 16.8 points and 297 yards per game. MarcAnthony Parker leads the Navy Midshipmen with 33 tackles, Landon Robinson has 3.5 sacks and Justin Ross has 1 interception.

Air Force Falcons @ Navy Midshipmen Betting Trends: Week 6

Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Eli Heidenreich leads Navy for receptions (12) this season.

Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Quin Smith leads the Mountain West Conference for yards per reception (28.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Navy ranks 6th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (34:11).
• Navy ranks 130th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (131.5).
• Air Force ranks 135th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (12.8).
• Air Force ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (24.0).

Air Force vs Navy Prediction

Navy is the better team and should be favored, as Air Force doesn’t play a lick of defense. However, Air Force has a top-30 total offense and scoring offense, which is valuable in the underdog role. If Air Force can string together a stop or two, the Falcons can win some games and be worth a look in spots like this one. This is also a rivalry game where the underdogs have covered 5 of the last 8 meetings. Air Force can score with the best of them, and that’s enough for me to grab free points. Hopefully the defense shows up even a little bit.