Pittsburgh vs Toledo Prediction College Football Picks 12/26/24

Toledo (7-5) vs Pittsburgh (7-5)

Game Info: Thursday, December 26, 2024 at 2:00 pm (Ford Field)

Betting Odds: Toledo +7 / Pittsburgh -7 --- Over/Under: 51.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Pittsburgh Panthers and Toledo Rockets meet Thursday in the college football Sports Bowl at Ford Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh vs Toledo Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh vs Toledo Pick.

Pittsburgh Panthers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Panthers are coming off losses to Clemson, Louisville and Boston College. Pittsburgh has lost 3 straight non-home games. Eli Holstein is completing 61.9 percent of his passes for 2,225 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Konata Mumpfield and Desmond Reid have combined for 1,377 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Kenny Johnson has 44 receptions.

The Pittsburgh Panthers ground game is averaging 128.5 yards per contest, and Reid leads the way with 797 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 26.8 points and 373.8 yards per game. Donovan McMillon leads the Pittsburgh Panthers with 108 tackles, Kyle Louis has 7 sacks and Brandon George has 1 interception.

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets recently beat Central Michigan, and they lost to Ohio and Akron. The Toledo Rockets have split their last 6 non-home games. Tucker Gleason is completing 61.8 percent of his passes for 2,457 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Jerjuan Newton and Junior Vandeross III have combined for 1,712 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Anthony Torres has 27 receptions.

The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 120.3 yards per contest, and Connor Walendzak leads the way with 457 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 21.3 points and 352.5 yards per game. Maxen Hook leads the Toledo Rockets with 108 tackles, Anthony Dunn Jr. has 4 sacks and Braden Awls has 3 interceptions.

Why the Pittsburgh Panthers will win

  • Pittsburgh has won each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
  • Toledo has lost five of its last six Bowl games.
  • Toledo has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
  • Pittsburgh has covered the spread in three of its last four games in December.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Pittsburgh's last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Toledo's last four games at neutral venues have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Toledo ranks 124th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (72.3).
  • Toledo ranks 122nd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (27:12).
  • Pittsburgh ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (10.3).
  • Pittsburgh ranks 13th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (4.5).

Pittsburgh vs Toledo Prediction

The Pittsburgh Panthers are favored because there's a talent gap, but I'm not laying a touchdown with a team that hasn't won a game since October. Pitt has been in a free fall for over a month, and excuse me if I'm not excited to lay this many points. The Toledo Rockets are also familiar with Ford Field and should have a decent showing crowd wise. I just question how motivated Pitt is for this game or if it can get off the canvas. Give me the free touchdown.

Randy’s Pick Toledo +7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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