Penn State vs Oregon Prediction College Football Picks 12/7/24

Oregon (12-0) vs Penn State (11-1)

Game Info: Saturday, December 7, 2024 at 8:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

Betting Odds: Oregon -3.5 / Penn State +3.5 --- Over/Under: 49.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Penn State Nittany Lions and Oregon Ducks meet Saturday in the week 15 college football Big Ten Championship at Lucas Oil Stadium. Here’s a Penn State vs Oregon Prediction. This article will include a Penn State vs Oregon Pick.

Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview

The Penn State Nittany Lions are coming off wins over Purdue, Minnesota, and Maryland. Penn State has won 5 straight non-home games. Drew Allar is completing 71.6 percent of his passes for 2,668 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Tyler Warren and Harrison Wallace III have combined for 1,557 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Omari Evans has 18 receptions.

The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 194.7 yards per contest, and Nicholas Singleton leads the way with 733 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 14 points and 266.7 yards per game. Jaylen Reed leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 75 tackles, Abdul Carter has 10 sacks and Tony Rojas has 2 interceptions.

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks are coming off wins over Maryland, Wisconsin, and Washington. Oregon has won 6 straight non-home games. Dillon Gabriel is completing 73.5 percent of his passes for 3,275 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Tez Johnson and Evan Stewart have combined for 1,298 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Traeshon Holden has 36 receptions.

The Oregon Ducks ground game is averaging 170.9 yards per contest, and Jordan James leads the way with 1,166 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Oregon is allowing 16.2 points and 283.9 yards per game. Bryce Boettcher leads the Oregon Ducks with 80 tackles, Matayo Uiagalelei has 10.5 sacks and Tysheem Johnson has 3 interceptions.

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

  • Oregon has won each of its last nine games against conference opponents.
  • Penn State has lost each of its last nine games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • Oregon has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
  • Penn State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Oregon's last four games as a favorite against top-15 AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of Penn State's last six games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Oregon ranks 5th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+5.8).
  • Oregon ranks T6th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (6.8).
  • Penn State ranks 4th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (266.7).
  • Penn State ranks T5th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.5).

Penn State vs Oregon Prediction

The Oregon Ducks have allowed teams to hang around here and there this season, and it leaves the door open for Penn State. The problem is this is a big game, and we know the reputation of coach James Franklin. The guy never has his team ready for the big game, and it's to the point where he has to show me something before I can back him in spots like this. Penn State is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games as an underdog. I just don't trust little game Franklin to win a game like this. Give me Oregon by a touchdown on Saturday night.

Randy’s Pick Oregon -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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