Kentucky (4-7) vs Louisville (7-4)
Game Info: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Kroger Field)
Betting Odds: Kentucky +3.5 / Louisville -3.5 --- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Louisville Cardinals and Kentucky Wildcats meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Kroger Field. Here’s a Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction. This article will include a Louisville vs Kentucky Pick.
Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview
The Louisville Cardinals lost to Stanford and beat Pittsburgh. Louisville has won 3 of its last 4 road games. Tyler Shough is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 3,067 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Ja’Corey Brooks and Chris Bell have combined for 1,606 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while Ahmari Huggins-Bruce has 18 receptions.
The Louisville Cardinals ground game is averaging 167.5 yards per contest, and Isaac Brown leads the way with 896 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Louisville is allowing 24.1 points and 363 yards per game. TJ Quinn leads the Louisville Cardinals with 75 tackles, Ashton Gillotte has 4.5 sacks and Corey Thornton has 2 interceptions.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats beat Murray State and lost to Texas. Kentucky has lost 4 of its last 6 home games. Brock Vandagriff is completing 57.3 percent of his passes for 1,593 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Dane Key and Barion Brown have combined for 1,065 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Ja'Mori Maclin has 10 receptions.
The Kentucky Wildcats ground game is averaging 144.7 yards per contest, and Demie Sumo-Karngbaye leads the way with 535 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Kentucky is allowing 20.4 points and 332.7 yards per game. Jamon Dumas-Johnson leads the Kentucky Wildcats with 62 tackles, J.J. Weaver has 5 sacks and Jordan Lovett has 2 interceptions.
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win
- Kentucky has lost each of its last six November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won each of the last five games between Louisville and Kentucky at Kroger Field.
- Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 November games as a home underdog.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of the last five games between Louisville and Kentucky at Kroger Field.
Total Points Facts
- Five of Louisville's last six games as a favorite against Kentucky have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Kentucky's last six games as an underdog against Louisville have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kentucky ranks 13th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.8).
- Kentucky ranks 121st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (9.2).
- Louisville ranks 12th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+6.1).
- Louisville ranks 13th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (285.5).
Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction
The Louisville Cardinals have been the better team this season and should be favored, but they've also had chances to string together wins. Right when you're ready to believe in Louisville, it responds with a subpar performance. The Kentucky Wildcats have nothing to play for but it is a rivalry and senior night. Kentucky has also won 5 straight games against Louisville and 5 of the last 6 games overall. I wouldn't count out Kentucky just because it's been a down season. The crowd will be out, and you can argue the Wildcats are the more talented side. Give me the points.
Randy’s Pick Kentucky +3.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
