UCLA (4-7) vs Fresno State (6-5)
Game Info: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Rose Bowl)
Betting Odds: UCLA -8.5 / Fresno State +8.5 --- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Fresno State Bulldogs and the UCLA Bruins meet in week 14 college football action from the Rose Bowl on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Fresno State vs. UCLA prediction.
Fresno State Recap
The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this one looking to finish the season with an upset win after improving to 6-5 on the year thanks to a 28-22 win over Colorado State last time out.
Bulldogs Looking For Power Conference Win To Close Out Regular Season
Mikey Keene has thrown for 2,673 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions on 70.6% passing while Malik Sherrod has 196 rushing yards and 4 rushing TDs while Elijah Gilliam has 465 rushing yards and 8 TDs. Bryson Donelson also has 339 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Mac Dalena has a team-high 900 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns with 51 grabs while Jalen Moss has 44 receptions for 549 yards and Raylen Sharpe has 488 receiving yards this season. Tuasivi Nomura has a team-high 90 total tackles while Cam Lockridge has a team-high 5 interceptions. As a unit, Fresno State’s defense has 19 sacks and 14 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- UCLA has lost four of its last five November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has won eight of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
- UCLA has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has covered the spread in each of its last three road games against non-conference opponents.
UCLA Recap
The UCLA Bruins come into this game looking to finish Sherrone Moore’s debut season as head coach with a win after failing to secure bowl eligibility with a 19-13 loss to USC to fall to 4-7 on the year.
Bruins Looking For Positive To Close Out Year
Ethan Garbers has thrown for 2,438 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions on 64.7% passing while T.J. Harden has rushed for a team-high 482 rushing yards. Moliki Matavao leads UCLA in receiving with 386 receiving yards while Harden has a team-high 38 receptions for 373 yards. J. Michael Sturdivant and Logan Loya each have 300+ receiving yards as well and three more UCLA receivers have 200+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 121 total tackles and 3 sacks while Oluwafemi Oladejo has a team-high 4.5 sacks. As a unit, UCLA has combined for 20 sacks and 10 interceptions so far this season.
Why the UCLA Bruins will win
- UCLA has won seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at Rose Bowl.
- Fresno State has lost five of its last six games in November.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCLA has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
Fresno State vs. UCLA Prediction
I’m on Fresno State and the points here. I know neither team has anything to gain from this from a standing perspective, and it is senior day for UCLA. However, I have to wonder if the Bruins are slightly deflated after that loss to USC last week, a rivalry loss that knocked them out of bowl contention. The UCLA defense has been questionable at times, and while Fresno State hasn’t been the most consistent offensively, I do think there’s something to be said for their ability to air it out and find a couple of big plays with Mikey Keene under center. Give me Fresno and the points.
Chris’s Pick Fresno State +8.5
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
