Florida State (2-9) vs Florida (6-5)
Game Info: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium)
Betting Odds: Florida State +16.5/ Florida -16.5 --- Over/Under: 45.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Florida Gators and the Florida State Seminoles meet in week 14 college football action from Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida vs. Florida State prediction.
Florida Recap
The Florida Gators come into this one looking to build on a 24-17 win over Ole Miss to improve to 6-5 on the year
Gators Secure Bowl Eligibility
DJ Lagway has thrown for 1,477 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 58.5% passing while Graham Mertz has thrown for 791 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 INTs on 76.6% passing. Montrell Johnson Jr. has 494 rushing yards and 5 TDs while Jadan Baugh has 522 rushing yards and 7 TDs. Ja’Kobi Jackson also has 401 rushing yards and 6 scores this season. Elijhah Badger has a team-high 35 grabs for 778 yards and 4 TDs while Chimere Dike has 624 receiving yards and 2 TDs on 33 grabs. Eugene Wilson III has 266 receiving yards and another three Gators have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Trikweze Bridges has a team-high 63 total tackles while Tyreak Sapp has a team-high 6 sacks. As a unit, Florida’s defense has combined for 31 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- The favorite has won each of the last 10 games between Florida and Florida State.
- Florida State has lost each of its last seven games as an underdog.
- Florida has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- Florida State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in November.
Florida State Recap
The Florida State Gators will try to finish the season on a high note after taking out Charleston Southern last time out to improve to 2-9 with a final score of 41-7.
Seminoles Looking For Rivalry Win To Save Face
DJ Uiagalelei has thrown for 1,065 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 53.8% passing while Brock Glenn has thrown for 597 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 5 INTs on 44.7% passing. Lawrance Toafili has a team-high 413 rushing yards with 2 TDs and Roydell Williams has a pair of rushing TDs as well. Ja’Khi Douglas leads Florida State with 486 receiving yards on 28 receptions while Malik Benson has 24 grabs for 306 yards and five more FSU receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well. On defense, Shyheim Brown has a team-high 67 total tackles including 37 solo tackles while Patrick Payton has a team-high 4 sacks on the year. Marvin Jones Jr. has 3 sacks as well and Florida State’s defense as a whole has combined for 24 sacks and 3 interceptions on the year.
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
- Florida has lost each of its last three November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida State has won nine of its last 10 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of Florida's last six games.
Florida vs. Florida State Prediction
This is a massive number for a home underdog in a rivalry game, but Florida State deserves it for the bed they’ve made for themselves. Don’t let last week’s win over Charleston Southern fool you, this is still a horrendous FSU team that won’t be forgotten any time soon. Florida has nothing to play for from a schedule and standing perspective, but they’ve found something with DJ Lagway that’s working, and the Gators would love to stick it to their rival and kick them while they’re down I’m sure. Give me the Gators in a beatdown.
Chris’s Pick Florida -16.5
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
