Duke vs Wake Forest Prediction College Football Picks 11/30/24

In this article, we will formulate a Duke vs Wake Forest prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 30th at Allegacy Federal Credit Union in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup. 

Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

The Duke Blue Devils are 8-3 (4-3) this year after they defeated Virginia Tech by a score of 31-28 in their last game. Duke led 31-17 in the fourth quarter, but they barely hung on for the win late in the game. The Blue Devils were outgained by a total of 403-396, lost the turnover battle 4-2, and went 2-11 on third down in the game. Maalik Murphy threw for 332 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Eli Pancol caught five passes for 188 yards and three scores. 

Prior to that game, the Blue Devils defeated NC State by a score of 29-19 but did lose to Miami and SMU before that. The Duke offense has scored 28.8 points per game with 245.9 passing yards and 96.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.6 points per game this season. Maalik Murphy has completed 58.9% of his passes for 2,698 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Star Thomas has rushed for 805 yards and six scores. 

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Betting Preview

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 4-7 (2-5) this season after they lost to Miami by a score of 42-14 in their last game. Wake Forest only trailed 17-14 in the second quarter, but they allowed the last 25 points for the loss. The Demon Deacons were outgained by a total of 508-193, tied the turnover battle at two, and went 4-14 on third down in the game. Hank Bachmeier threw for 86 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Demond Claiborne rushed for 62 yards on 19 carries. 

Prior to that loss, the Demon Deacons lost to North Carolina by a score of 31-24 and California by a score of 46-36. The Wake Forest offense has scored 28.1 points per game with 243.1 passing yards and 132.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 33.4 points per game this season. Hank Bachmeier has completed 61.8% of his passes for 2,386 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, while Taylor Morin has caught 56 passes for 709 yards and two scores. 

Why Duke will beat Wake Forest

• Wake Forest has lost each of its last 11 November games as an underdog.
• Duke has won 13 of its last 14 games as a favorite.
• Wake Forest has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight home games.
• Duke has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
• Duke has won the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Duke’s last nine road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Wake Forest’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Wake Forest ranks 129th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (93.5).
• Wake Forest ranks 128th among FBS teams for average point differential in the fourth quarter this season (-4.4).
• Duke ranks T123rd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (38.5).
• Duke ranks 122nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (5.6).

Duke vs Wake Forest Prediction 

Duke comes into this matchup on a two-game winning streak and they have scored 31 and 29 points in those two wins. The Blue Devils are looking for their ninth win of the season but will be on the road here. Wake Forest has lost three games in a row and they have allowed 42, 31, and 46 points in those games. I really don’t like how Wake Forest has played this season and I think their defense has been awful. Take Duke on the road here.