UCF vs West Virginia Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

West Virginia (5-5) vs UCF (4-6)

Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium)

Betting Odds: West Virginia +3 / UCF -3 --- Over/Under: 62.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The UCF Knights and West Virginia Mountaineers meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Milan Puskar Stadium. Here’s a UCF vs West Virginia Prediction. This article will include a UCF vs West Virginia Prediction Pick.

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights lost to Arizona State, beat Arizona, and they play Utah next. UCF lost 3 straight road games. KJ Jefferson is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 1,012 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Kobe Hudson and Randy Pittman Jr. have combined for 951 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jacoby Jones has 20 receptions.

The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 262.8 yards per contest, and RJ Harvey leads the way with 1,328 yards and 19 touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 26.4 points and 355.4 yards per game. Ethan Barr leads the UCF Knights with 53 tackles, Malachi Lawrence has 4 sacks and Deshawn Pace has 2 interceptions.

West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Preview

The West Virginia Mountaineers beat Cincinnati, lost to Baylor, and they play Texas Tech next. West Virginia has lost 3 straight home games. Garrett Greene is completing 54.9 percent of his passes for 1,589 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Hudson Clement and Traylon Ray have combined for 880 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Kole Taylor has 35 receptions.

The West Virginia Mountaineers ground game is averaging 198.4 yards per contest, and Jahiem White leads the way with 639 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, West Virginia is allowing 30 points and 402.3 yards per game. Josiah Trotter leads the West Virginia Mountaineers with 79 tackles, T.J. Jackson has 5.5 sacks and Tyrin Bradley Jr. has 1 interception.

Why the West Virginia Mountaineers will win

  • West Virginia has won three of its last four November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UCF has lost six of its last seven games.
  • West Virginia has covered the spread in five of its last six November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UCF has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a road favorite.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of West Virginia's last four games as an underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of UCF's last four games has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • West Virginia ranks T18th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (11.3).
  • West Virginia ranks T117th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.8).
  • UCF ranks 8th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (464.6).
  • UCF ranks 16th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (239).

UCF vs West Virginia Prediction

This line doesn't make sense to me. The UCF Knights favored on the road despite losing 7 of their last 8 games and watching their defense fall apart. The West Virginia Mountaineers have issues of their own, and they've lost 3 straight games at home. However, it's also senior night for a roster that includes 23 seniors, and a win makes them bowl-eligible for the ninth time in the last 11 years. There's motivation for West Virginia to find a way to win this game. Give me the free field goal with the Mountaineers.

Randy’s Pick West Virginia +3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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