Troy vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

Louisiana-Lafayette (8-2) vs Troy (3-7)

Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 5:00 pm (Cajun Field)

Betting Odds: Louisiana-Lafayette -10.5 / Troy +10.5 --- Over/Under: 53.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Troy Trojans and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Cajun Field. Here’s a Troy vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction. This article will include a Troy vs Louisiana-Lafayette Pick.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans beat Coastal Carolina and Georgia Southern, and they play Southern Miss next. Troy has lost 4 of its last 5 road games. Matthew Caldwell is completing 65.2 percent of his passes for 1,191 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Devonte Ross and Peyton Higgins have combined for 1,161 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Landon Parker has 20 receptions.

The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 148.5 yards per contest, and Damien Taylor leads the way with 774 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Troy is allowing 27 points and 369.5 yards per game. Jordan Stringer leads the Troy Trojans with 69 tackles, Julian Peterson has 2.5 sacks and Justin Powe has 2 interceptions.

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns beat Arkansas State, lost to South Alabama, and they play UL Monroe next. The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns have won 3 of their last 5 home games. Ben Wooldridge is completing 68.3 percent of his passes for 2,392 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Terrance Carter and Lance LeGendre have combined for 1,189 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Harvey Broussard has 24 receptions.

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns ground game is averaging 185 yards per contest, and Bill Davis leads the way with 635 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Louisiana-Lafayette is allowing 22 points and 337.2 yards per game. K.C. Ossai leads the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns with 81 tackles, Cameron Whitfield has 5 sacks and Tyree Skipper has 4 interceptions.

Why the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns will win

  • Louisiana has won six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Louisiana has covered the spread in each of its last three November games as a favorite against Troy.
  • Troy has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Louisiana has won the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty of Louisiana's last 24 games against conference opponents at Cajun Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of Troy's last six November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Louisiana ranks 8th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.5).
  • Louisiana is one of only 11 FBS teams undefeated in road games this season ((5-0)).
  • Troy ranks 6th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (50.8).
  • Troy ranks 124th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.8).

Troy vs Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns winning this game comfortably wouldn't be shocking, but they are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games as a double-digit favorite. The Troy Trojans are also coming off back-to-back wins, both of which came in the underdog role. After struggling all year on the offensive end, Troy has found a shot in the arm in its last couple of games, and it provides hope heading into this contest. The hook could be key for us. Give me Troy and the points.

Randy’s Pick Troy +10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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