Troy vs Georgia Southern Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24

Georgia Southern (6-3) vs Troy (2-7)

Game Info: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 4:00 pm (Allen E. Paulson Stadium)

Betting Odds: Georgia Southern -8 / Troy +8 --- Over/Under: 53.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Troy Trojans and the Georgia Southern Eagles meet Saturday in college football action from Paulson Stadium. Here’s a Troy vs Georgia Southern prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Troy vs Georgia Southern pick. We will examine:

The Troy Trojans' recent form and player performance

The Georgia Southern Eagles' recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Troy Trojans

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Georgia Southern Eagles

Recent betting trends in games played between Troy and Georgia Southern

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Troy vs Georgia Southern game

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

Troy kicked off their year with losses to Nevada, Memphis, and Iowa before finally getting a victory over Florida A&M. The Trojans would hit the skids versus LA-Monroe, Texas State, South Alabama, and Arkansas State before another win over Coastal Carolina.

In the matchup with the Chanticleers back on November 2, the Trojans posted 21 points in the second quarter during a 38-24 win. QB Matthew Caldwell threw for 169 yards and two scores, but Damien Taylor (190 yards; TD) and Gerald Green (123 yards; TD) did most of the work on the ground.

Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Preview

Over on the Georgia Southern side, they went 2-2 over their first four with losses to Boise State and Ole Miss around wins versus Nevada and SC State. The Eagles went 4-1 in the next five with wins over Georgia State, Marshall, James Madison, and South Alabama.

On November 2 versus South Alabama, the Eagles came back from a 30-14 deficit with 20 unanswered fourth-quarter points for a brilliant win 34-30. JC French threw for 198 yards and two scores. Jalen White led the rush with 18 carries for 71 yards and a TD of his own.

Why the Georgia Southern Eagles will win

  • Georgia Southern has won six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
  • Troy has lost eight of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Georgia Southern has covered the spread in each of its last four games at Allen E. Paulson Stadium.
  • Troy has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

  • Troy has won each of its last nine November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Georgia Southern has lost four of its last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in each of Georgia Southern's last five games.
  • Georgia Southern has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Troy's last four games in November has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Georgia Southern's last six games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Troy vs Georgia Southern Prediction

I’ll stick with Georgia Southern. The Eagles are coming off a great comeback win versus a middling South Alabama team. GA Southern posted 337 yards (231 passing), 20 first downs, and 7-of-16 on third-down tries in that one. The defense came up with two takeaways and held the Jags to 5-of-12 on third downs. The 13 South Alabama penalties helped as well.

As for Troy, they had a much-needed strong showing versus Coastal Carolina in their last appearance. The Trojans did most of the work on the ground with 342 rush yards (511 total). Troy will probably need to balance things out a little better this weekend if they’re going to contend.

Andrew’s Pick Georgia Southern Eagles -8

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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