Illinois (6-3) vs Michigan State (4-5)
Game Info: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 2:30 pm (Memorial Stadium)
Betting Odds: Illinois -3 / Michigan State +3 --- Over/Under: 47.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Michigan State Spartans and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Saturday in week 12 college football action at Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction. This article will include a Michigan State vs Illinois Pick.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans lost to Michigan and Indiana and play Purdue next. The Michigan State Spartans have lost 3 straight road games. Aidan Chiles is completing 61.6 percent of his passes for 1,850 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Nick Marsh and Montorie Foster Jr. have combined for 1,006 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jack Velling has 29 receptions.
The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 117.8 yards per contest, and Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams leads the way with 469 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 24.1 points and 323.6 yards per game. Jordan Turner leads the Michigan State Spartans with 51 tackles, Khris Bogle has 3 sacks and Charles Brantley has 3 interceptions.
Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview
The Illinois Fighting Illini lost to Oregon and Minnesota, and they play Rutgers next. Illinois has won 5 of its last 6 home games. Luke Altmyer is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 1,893 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Pat Bryant and Zakhari Franklin have combined for 1,097 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Collin Dixon has 13 receptions.
The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 142.4 yards per contest, and Josh McCray leads the way with 330 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 21.1 points and 366.3 yards per game. Dylan Rosiek leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 60 tackles, Gabe Jacas has 6.5 sacks and Xavier Scott has 3 interceptions.
Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win
- Illinois has won five of its last six home games.
- Michigan State has lost 13 of its last 16 road games.
- Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight games in November.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State's last five road games in November has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Illinois' last four November games as a favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Illinois ranks T23rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (3.8).
- Illinois ranks 109th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (10.6).
- Michigan State ranks 128th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-6.0).
- Michigan State ranks 128th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (71.0).
Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction
The Michigan State Spartans just can't find consistent offense and have scored 19 or fewer points in 5 of their last 6 games. It's just hard to win when putting points on the board is tougher than pulling teeth. The Illinois Fighting Illini have had issues of their own lately, but they've shown more over the course of the season, and their top-40 scoring defense should be the difference in this matchup. Illinois is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games as a favorite, but I'd need more points to consider Michigan State. I'll lay the field goal with Illinois at home.
Randy’s Pick Illinois -3
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
