Michigan (5-3) vs Oregon (8-0)
Game Info: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Michigan Stadium)
Betting Odds: Michigan +13.5 / Oregon -13.5 --- Over/Under: 52.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Oregon Ducks and the Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action from Michigan Stadium. Here’s an Oregon vs Michigan prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Oregon vs Michigan pick. We will examine:
The Oregon Ducks' recent form and player performance
The Michigan Wolverines' recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Oregon Ducks
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Michigan Wolverines
Recent betting trends in games played between Oregon and Michigan
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Oregon vs Michigan game
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
The Ducks came out of the gate this year with a win over Idaho, then eked past Boise State 37-34 in game two. After that came wins over Oregon State, UCLA, and Michigan State before a one-point escape over Ohio State and a 35-0 shutout versus Purdue.
In the Illinois game last weekend, the Ducks jumped out to a dominant 35-3 edge by halftime and cruised to the win 38-9. QB Dillon Gabriel threw for 291 yards, three scores, and an interception. Tops in receiving was Tez Johnson with 102 yards and a TD on six grabs.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
Over on the Michigan side, they lost to Texas 31-12 in game two but otherwise dispatched Fresno State, Arkansas State, Minnesota, and USC in their first five. After that came consecutive losses to Washington and Illinois, however.
Matched up against Michigan State, Michigan held a tight 9-7 edge at the break and eventually powered out the win 24-17. Davis Warren threw for 123 yards and a touchdown. Colston Loveland caught six balls for 67 yards and two touchdowns to lead the receivers.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last 12 games in November.
- Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last four November games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
Why the Oregon Ducks will win
- Oregon has won 30 of its last 31 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Michigan has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four home games in November.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan's last eight games against AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Oregon's last seven games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Oregon vs Michigan Prediction
I’ll stick with Oregon. The Ducks put on a clinic against a good Illinois team over the weekend, notching 527 yards (229 passing), 7.9 yards per play, and 27 first downs in the blowout win. On defense, Oregon gave up 293 yards (151 passing), 4.4 yards per play, and a 5-of-13 success rate on third downs. That makes 31 or more points in seven straight games.
As for Michigan, they pulled off a gutsy rivalry win against Michigan State, playing a clean game with zero penalties and zero turnovers. The Wolverines' defense allowed the Spartans to keep the chains moving (37:05 in time of possession) and gave up 8-of-15 on third-down tries, though. That won’t cut it against a dangerous offense like Oregon’s. I like the Ducks to keep rolling here and power out the cover.
Andrew’s Pick Oregon Ducks -13.5
AUTHOR: Andrew Jett
Follow Andrew Jett on Twitter @PickDawgzAndrew