Boise State (6-1) vs San Diego State (3-4)
Game Info: Friday, November 1, 2024 at 8:00 pm (Albertsons Stadium)
Betting Odds: Boise State -23.5 / San Diego State +23.5 --- Over/Under: 58.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The San Diego State Aztecs and the Boise State Broncos meet Friday in college football action from Albertsons Stadium. Here’s a San Diego State vs Boise State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best San Diego State vs Boise State pick. We will examine:
The San Diego State Aztecs' recent form and player performance
The Boise State Broncos' recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego State Aztecs
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boise State Broncos
Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego State and Boise State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the San Diego State vs Boise State game
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The Aztecs kicked off their year with a win over Texas A&M-Commerce, then fell to Oregon State, California, and Central Michigan in the next trio. San Diego State would rebound with wins over Hawaii and Wyoming from there.
Back on Saturday versus Washington State, the Aztecs had a 19-14 lead going into the final quarter but ended up losing a tough one 29-26. QB Danny O’Neil threw for 195 yards and an interception, while Marquez Cooper did most of the work on the ground with 78 yards and two scores.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
Over on the Boise State side, they beat Georgia Southern out of the gate before a loss to Oregon 37-34. The Broncos have run the table since then, rolling over Portland State, Washington State, Utah State, Hawaii, and UNLV in succession.
Matched up against UNLV last Friday, the Broncos carried a 20-10 edge into the second half. Boise State was outscored 14-9 from there but held on for the win 29-24. QB Maddux Madsen finished with 209 yards and a score (with a rush TD). Ashton Jeanty carried 33 times for 128 yards and a touchdown of his own.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams at Albertsons Stadium.
- San Diego State has lost each of its last seven November games as a road underdog.
- Boise State has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 games against conference opponents at Albertsons Stadium.
- San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State's last five games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Boise State's last four games against non-AP-ranked teams at Albertsons Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction
I’m leaning toward Boise State, but the line is probably too thick to mess with. The Broncos didn’t have the greatest game in the world against UNLV last Friday, though. Boise State posted 394 total yards (209 passing) and 21 first downs but went just 3-of-15 on third-down tries. On defense, the Broncos gave up 367 yards (179 passing) and 6.3 yards per play in the tight victory.
As for San Diego State, on Saturday they had Washington State on the ropes late but couldn’t finish it off. The 5-of-14 rate on third downs and eight penalties overall were the most glaring statistical blemishes. I like the Aztecs to rebound a bit and play well here but I don’t think they’ll quite cover.
Andrew’s Pick Boise State Broncos -23.5
AUTHOR: Andrew Jett
Follow Andrew Jett on Twitter @PickDawgzAndrew