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Ball State vs Vanderbilt Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24
Pick details
Vanderbilt (4-2) vs Ball State (2-4)
October 19, 2024 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Vanderbilt -25 / Ball State +25 — Over/Under: 59.5
The Ball State Cardinals and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet in week 8 college football action from FirstBank Stadium on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Ball State vs. Vanderbilt prediction.
Ball State Recap
The Ball State Cardinals come into this one looking to build on a 37-35 win over Kent State last time out. After this game, Ball State will return to conference play for a home date with Northern Illinois.
Cardinals Looking To Spring The Upset
Kadin Semonza has thrown for 1,348 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions on 66.7% passing while Braedon Sloan has a team-high 423 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns on the ground. Tanner Koziol has a team-high 46 receptions for 434 yards and 3 touchdowns while Cam Pickett and the aforementioned Sloan each have 200+ receiving yards and another two Cardinals have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Keionte Newson has a team-high 31 total tackles including 21 solo tackles. Brandon Berger also has a team-high 4 sacks while Ball State’s defense as a whole has combined for 14 sacks and 2 interceptions.
Why the Ball State Cardinals will win
- Ball State has won four of its last five October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has lost 10 of its last 12 games in October.
- Ball State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Vanderbilt Recap
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The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this one looking to build on another outright upset after taking down Kentucky last time out. After this game, Vanderbilt welcomes Texas to town for a headliner matchup.
Commodores Looking To Keep Momentum Going
Diego Pavia has thrown for 1,116 yards, 10 touchdowns, and an interception on 69.1% passing while also rushing for a team-high 388 yards and 2 TDs. Sedrick Alexander has 339 rushing yards with 5 touchdowns while AJ Newberry has 144 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Eli Stowers has a team-high 25 grabs for 333 yards while Quincy Skinner Jr. and Junior Sherrill each have 100+ receiving yards as well. On defense, Bryan Longwell has a team-high 41 total tackles while Vanderbilt’s defense as a whole has combined for 12 sacks and 5 interceptions.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Ball State has lost each of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
- The favorite has won each of Ball State’s last eight games.
- Ball State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in seven of Ball State’s last eight games.
Ball State vs. Vanderbilt Prediction
I’m going to take a stab at Ball State and the points here. It’s just a horrendous sandwich spot for Vandy, who even with the new look Commodores and the swagger that Diego Pavia has brought to this program, I have a hard time laying points with in general, especially as a big favorite. Add in the look-ahead with Texas on deck, and it’s really hard for me to get on Vandy here. Give me the Cardinals and the points.
Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Ball State +25
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