North Carolina vs Duke Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving North Carolina

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Duke

-Recent betting trends in games played between North Carolina and Duke.

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Tar Heels and Blue Devils

North Carolina Has Issues

North Carolina has issues heading into this game and they sure looked awful in the last game against James Madison. The offense scored 50 points, but it wasn’t enough as the defense gave up 70 points on the way to the defeat. At halftime, they were down 25-14 and they never could bounce back on the way to the defeat. Under center for North Carolina is Jacoby Criswell and he completed 28 of his 48 passes for 475 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. Running back Omarion Hampton finished with 19 carries for 139 yards and three touchdowns. The defense was awful. 

North Carolina is averaging 38 points while their defense is giving up 29.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 23rd in the league while the defense is ranked 99th. If the defense struggles, North Carolina is going to have a long game.

Perfect Start for Duke

Duke has had a perfect start to the season and they sit with a 4-0 record. In the last game against Middle Tennessee, Duke scored 45 points and they ended up winning 28 points. Maalik Murphy had a strong game completing 14 of his 21 passes for 216 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Star Thomas also was good on the ground rushing 17 times for 111 yards and two touchdowns. 

Duke’s offense has been impressive and if Murphy can continue the play, this is a team that should be talked about more. Duke is averaging 30.8 points while their defense is giving up 15.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 66th in the league while the defense is ranked 28th in the league. 

Why Duke Will Beat North Carolina

• Duke has won each of its last eight September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• North Carolina has lost each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
• Duke has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium.
• North Carolina has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.

North Carolina vs Duke Prediction

Duke is going to have no issue in this game. North Carolina’s defense is a major issue and in the last game, they gave up 70 points. Murphy is going to have a huge game for the Duke offense, and the North Carolina defense is going to have no answer. North Carolina will score some, but they aren’t going to run up the score, and Duke is going to get the job done. Back Duke against the spread here.