Air Force vs Wyoming Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Air Force Falcons

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Wyoming Cowboys

Recent betting trends in games played between Air Force and Wyoming

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Air Force vs Wyoming game

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

Air Force kicked off their season with a manageable matchup versus Merrimack. The Falcons didn’t have too many issues there and pulled off a 21-6 win. In game two versus San Jose State, however, Air Force took their first loss, falling 17-7.

In their last matchup versus Baylor back on September 14, the Falcons had their hands full. Air Force was only down 6-3 by the break but couldn’t score from there in a 31-3 blowout loss. Josh Johnson led a meager passing attack with 18 yards off a single completion. Cade Harris led the rush on 71 yards from seven carries.

Wyoming Cowboys Betting Preview

Over on the Wyoming side, their 2024 campaign began with a series of losses. The first one came in blowout fashion 48-7 versus Arizona State, then game two was a much closer 17-13 loss to Idaho. Game three was another loss, this time 34-14 against BYU.

In last weekend’s matchup with North Texas, Wyoming was outscored 17-0 in the second half during a 44-17 loss. QB Evan Svoboda had 155 yards and an interception along the way. John Michael Gyllenborg led the receivers with five catches for 56 yards.

Why the Wyoming Cowboys will win

• Air Force has lost four of its last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Wyoming has won each of its last three games as a home underdog against Air Force.
• Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Wyoming has covered the spread in five of its last six home games against conference opponents.
• Wyoming has won the first quarter in each of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
• Wyoming has won the first half in each of its last six home games against conference opponents.

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• Air Force has won 12 of its last 13 games when playing with a rest advantage.
• Wyoming has lost each of its last four games.
• Wyoming has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in eight of Wyoming's last 10 games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Wyoming's last nine September games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Air Force's last seven games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Air Force vs Wyoming Prediction

I’ll lean toward Wyoming here. The Cowboys need a good bounce-back effort after a rough game versus North Texas, though. Wyoming posted 244 yards (69 rushing), 15 first downs, and 4-of-14 on third-down conversions in a pretty limp offensive outing there. On the other side, the Cowboys gave up 534 yards (318 passing), 7.1 yards per play, and 28 first downs.

As for Air Force, they’ve had an extra week to rest and attempt to add another dimension to their offense. The Falcons notched just 218 yards (25 passing), 12 first downs, and three turnovers in their latest loss to Baylor, who shot themselves in the proverbial foot with three lost fumbles. Air Force hasn’t posted more than 71 pass yards yet this year, so we still probably won’t see too many attempts here. I don’t think the Falcons will be able to keep a cover pace like that, but they should match up better versus the Cowboys.