New Mexico State vs Sam Houston State Prediction College Football Picks 9/21/24

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Sam Houston Bearkats meet Saturday in college football action from Bowers Stadium. Here’s a New Mexico State vs Sam Houston prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best New Mexico State vs Sam Houston pick. We will examine:

The New Mexico State Aggies’ recent form and player performance

The Sam Houston Bearkats’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico State Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Sam Houston Bearkats

Recent betting trends in games played between New Mexico State and Sam Houston

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New Mexico State vs Sam Houston game

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

In their 2024 opener, the Aggies faced off against Southeast Missouri State. New Mexico State managed to power out the 23-16 win in that one to start things off well. The Aggies would fall to .500 after game two, however, dropping 30-24 to Liberty.

Last Saturday versus Fresno State, the Aggies coughed up double-digit points in each of the first three quarters in a listless 48-0 blowout loss. QB Parker Awad threw for 48 yards and a pick. Seth McGowan nearly equaled that with 47 yards on 11 carries to lead the rush.

Sam Houston Bearkats Betting Preview

Over on the Sam Houston side, they started out their campaign versus Rice. The Bearkats were able to muscle out a 34-14 win in that one. Game two didn’t go so well, however. Sam Houston faced UCF and eventually lost in blowout fashion 45-14.

Matched up against Hawaii in game three, the Bearkats got back into the win column. Sam Houston scored points in every quarter along the way to a 31-13 win. QB Hunter Watson bagged 165 yards, three scores, and an interception. Jay Ducker led the rush with 148 yards on 15 totes.

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

• New Mexico State has lost 17 of its last 18 September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Sam Houston State has won each of its last three games at Bowers Stadium.
• Sam Houston State has covered the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won seven of its last nine games against conference opponents.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games in September.

Total Points Facts

• Four of Sam Houston State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of New Mexico State’s last four September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction

I’ll stay with Sam Houston. The Bearkats looked pretty good against Hawaii—outside of the passing game, that is. Sam Houston threw for just 165 yards and had two turnovers (one interception). Aside from that, the rushing attack picked up 257 yards and helped gather 22 first downs in the win.

As for New Mexico State, there’s not much to be happy about concerning their blowout loss last weekend. The Aggies collected just 138 yards (61 passing) and 10 first downs while going just 3-of-16 on third-down tries and coughing up three interceptions. New Mexico State has a lot to work on in practice this week.