Florida vs Mississippi State Prediction College Football Picks 9/21/24

Pick details

Mississippi State (1-2) vs Florida (1-2)

September 21, 2024 at 12:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi State +5.5 / Florida -5.5 — Over/Under: 57.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida Gators and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 4 college football action at Davis Wade Stadium. Here’s a Florida vs Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Mississippi State Pick.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators lost to Miami and Texas A&M, and play UCF next. The Florida Gators have lost 6 of their last 7 road games. DJ Lagway is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for 541 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Elijah Badger and Eugene Wilson III have combined for 451 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Chimere Dike has 8 receptions.

The Florida Gators ground game is averaging 119 yards per contest, and Montrell Johnson Jr. leads the way with 166 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida is allowing 27 points and 407.3 yards per game. Jaden Robinson leads the Florida Gators with 13 tackles, Tyreak Sapp has 2 sacks and Shemar James has 1 interception.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs just lost to Arizona State and Toledo, and they play Texas next. Mississippi State has lost 5 of its last 8 home games. Blake Shapen is completing 70.1 percent of his passes for 834 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kevin Coleman Jr. and Jordan Mosley have combined for 451 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Mario Craver has 5 receptions.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 97.7 yards per contest, and Keyvone Lee leads the way with 88 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 26 points and 388 yards per game. Isaac Smith leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 43 tackles, Braden Jennings has 1 sack and Elijah Cannon has 1 interception.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Mississippi State ranks T28th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (5.3).
  • Mississippi State ranks T30th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (18.3).
  • Florida ranks T27th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (10.0).
  • Florida ranks T29th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (9.3).

Florida vs Mississippi State Prediction

The Florida Gators have been dog-walked in their first two games against FBS competition, and now they go on the road. Florida has a horrible head coach, a defense that struggles with fundamentals, and two quarterbacks that appear to be rotating every possession based on last week. It’s a complete joke in Florida right now. Also, the Florida Gators are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. How is this line what it is? The Mississippi State Bulldogs may have issues of their own, but they’re at home and getting points. There’s no way in hell I’m laying points with Florida in its current state.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Mississippi State +5.5

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