Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 08/05/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Kansas City Royals and the Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Kansas City Royals will send out Ryan Bergert here and Bergert is 1-0 with a 2.78 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. This will be Bergert’s first career start against the Red Sox. Garrett Crochet will get the nod for the Red Sox here and is 12-4 with a 2.23 ERA and 175 strikeouts this season. In his career, Crochet is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-5 loss at the hands of the Red Sox in Monday’s series opener to sit at 56-57 on the year. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Royals Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Bobby Witt Jr. has 125 hits with 37 doubles and 29 stolen bases along with 3 triples, 16 home runs and 63 RBIs while Vinnie Pasquantino has 112 hits with 18 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. Maikel Garcia’s added 121 hits with 28 doubles, 5 triples, 10 home runs and 48 RBIs and 20 stolen bases and Salvador Perez also has 20 home runs and 66 RBIs but also has 88 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won each of their last five games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in six of the Royals’ last nine road games.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four night games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 19 night games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Hits (127) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Royals from Monday’s opener to sit at 63-51 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will have an interleague series against the San Diego Padres.

Red Sox Push Win Streak To 6

Alex Bregman has 75 hits including 20 doubles along with 14 home runs and 44 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 107 hits with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 18 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 117 hits with 30 doubles, 12 triples, 11 home runs, 60 RBIs and a team-high 18 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 20 home runs with 59 RBIs and 6 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 14 homers, 23 doubles, 2 triples, 50 RBIs and 14 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 13 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have lost seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine night games against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last six night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 14 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Garrett Crochet ranks T1st in the league for Wins (12) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Royals’ last seven night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.

Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m backing the Red Sox here. The Red Sox just have a massive edge in starting pitching in this matchup with Crochet, and I see no value in taking a shot with a Royals team that’s been ice cold at the plate against left-handed pitching for the better part of the last two weeks. The Red Sox are starting to heat up and are trying to chase down Toronto atop the AL East, and I think they keep pace with a big win here. Give me the Red Sox.