Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 7/2/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Seattle Storm and the Phoenix Mercury meet Thursday in WNBA action from the Mortgage Matchup Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 20th, 2026, by a final score of 93-73, making it three straight wins for the Mercury in this head-to-head matchup.

Seattle Storm Recap

The Seattle Storm come into this game looking to add on to their 105-90 win over the Dream last time out to sit at 5-15 this season. After this game, the Storm will take on the Portland Fire in a matchup at home.

Storm Win Back-To-Back Games

Flau’jae Johnson has 11.4 PPG along with 4.9 RPG. Dominique Malonga has 15.1 PPG with 6.4 RPG to lead the Storm in rebounding and Natisha Hiedeman has 15.3 PPG with 2.4 RPG and 4.3 APG. Awa Fam has 10.3 PPG with 5.4 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Storm so far this season. Zia Cooke has 8.1 PPG with 2 RPG and Jade Melbourne has 8.4 PPG with 3.5 APG as well this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 89-80 win over Toronto last time out to sit at 7-13 this season. After this game, the Mercury will take on the Chicago Sky in a matchup at home.

Mercury Win 3 Of Last 4

Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.1 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 13.8 PPG with 6.8 RPG and a team-high 8.4 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 10.3 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 9.5 PPG with 8.4 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.

Seattle Storm @ Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends: July 2, 2026

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Storm have lost each of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mercury have won each of their last six home games after winning as underdogs.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Storm’s last seven games.
• The Storm have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games.

Why the Seattle Storm will win

• The Mercury have lost seven of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have won six of the Storm’s last eight games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Storm have covered the spread in each of their last 11 Thursday games.

Total Points Facts

• Eleven of the Mercury’s last 12 home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Storm’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (8.4) this season.
• Kahleah Copper has scored 20+ points in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Seattle Storm Player Facts

• Dominique Malonga has recorded 10+ rebounds in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Flau’jae Johnson has recorded 2+ steals in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.2).
• The Phoenix Mercury have scored less than 80 points in seven road games this season – most in the WNBA.
• The Seattle Storm rank 14th for points per game this season (81.1).
• The Seattle Storm rank 14th for opponent rebounds per game this season (35.8).

Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Mercury here. I’ve been a backer of the Storm as of late, but mostly when they’ve been at home. On the road, the Storm have been far less effective this season and I think this is a spot where the Mercury take care of business at home so I’ll roll with Phoenix here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Phoenix -3.5